Match details. Challenge Cup. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 20:45 Lagos time.
Form. St Mirren B have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L W. Peterhead FC have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W L.
The numbers. St Mirren B score 2.3 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. St Mirren B average 0.0 cards a game. Peterhead FC score one and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Peterhead FC average 2.0 shots (0.8 on target) and 0.0 cards a game.
The case against. St Mirren B's record still gives them 50% to win.
The read. Peterhead FC or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make St Mirren B the likelier winners; both teams' records favour St Mirren B. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Peterhead FC or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: St Mirren B 1-2 Peterhead FC (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).