Match details. Challenge Cup. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 20:45 Lagos time.
Form. Spartans FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D W. Livingston FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L L.
The numbers. Spartans FC score 1.7 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Spartans FC average 0.0 cards a game. Livingston FC score 1.8 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Livingston FC average 11.4 shots (3.0 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Livingston FC the likelier winners, but Spartans FC are the stronger side on form and the table.
The case against. Spartans FC's record still gives them 38% to win.
The read. Livingston FC to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Livingston FC the likelier winners; Spartans FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Livingston FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Under 5.5 Goals (Livingston FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Spartans FC 0-1 Livingston FC (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
LIVINGSTON FC GOALS
Livingston FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SPA 3 of 5 (60%) · LIV 5 of 6 (83%)76.2%
Livingston FC scored in 3 of 5 away · Spartans FC conceded in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 75%
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (Livingston FC are a clear winner - no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (Livingston FC are a clear winner - no Unders)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–110.5%
Spartans FC goals →
Livingston FC goals ↓
0-08%
1-07%
2-04%
3-02%
4-00.4%
5-00.1%
0-111%
1-113%
2-17%
3-12%
4-10.6%
5-10.1%
0-29%
1-29%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.5%
5-20.1%
0-34%
1-35%
2-33%
3-30.9%
4-30.2%
5-30.1%
0-42%
1-42%
2-41.0%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.5%
1-50.5%
2-50.3%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
SPARTANS FCWWLDWLWDLW1.70 PPG
LIVINGSTON FCWWDLLWDWLL1.40 PPG
THE NUMBERS
SPARTANS FC HOMExLIVINGSTON FC AWAY
1.50SCORED A GAME1.401.17CONCEDED A GAME0.9020%CLEAN SHEETS40%0.00CORNERS A GAME4.700.00CARDS A GAME2.30
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
DRAW OR LIVINGSTON FC (1UP)
–
137 OF 146
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.50POINTS A GAME1.54+0.25GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.54–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.91.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.412LEAGUE GAMES13
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
85%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
55%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
80%
NO · 85/90
SPARTANS FC OR DRAW
60%
NO · 80/85
LIVINGSTON FC OR DRAW
72%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 13 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
SPARTANS FCxLIVINGSTON FC
7GAMES62.29SCORED A GAME1.502.14CONCEDED A GAME0.674.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.2100%OVER 1.5 GOALS67%71%OVER 2.5 GOALS33%71%BOTH SCORE17%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.6–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.2
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Spartans FC have scored in 60% of their games.
Livingston FC have scored in 70% of their games.
Spartans FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Livingston FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards