Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC vs Montrose FC
Match details. Challenge Cup, Round of 32. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 20:45 Lagos time. It is played at Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, Inverness.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L W. Montrose FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W L.
The numbers. Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC score 1.6 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC average 9.5 shots (4.1 on target), 5.3 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Montrose FC score 1.2 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets. Montrose FC average 0.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC have won six, drawn three and lost one. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC won three and Montrose FC won one. The last time they met, on 7 Mar 2026, it finished Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC 3-1 Montrose FC.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%; seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. A knockout game (Round of 32) with penalties if level, and Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC are not clearly stronger. Montrose FC's record still gives them 28% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game.
The read. Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC or the draw. A tight game. Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC; the meetings favour Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC or Draw at 1.12, 72% on the records (Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC unbeaten in 6 of 10; Montrose FC failed to win 5 of 6 away). Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC 1UP (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC 1-1 Montrose FC (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).