Hamilton Academical FC vs Raith Rovers FC
Match details. Challenge Cup. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 20:45 Lagos time.
Form. Hamilton Academical FC have won eight, drawn two and lost none of their last ten, 2.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W W. Raith Rovers FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W W.
The numbers. Hamilton Academical FC score 2.2 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Hamilton Academical FC average 3.7 shots (0.8 on target) and 1.2 cards a game. Raith Rovers FC score 1.5 and concede 0.5 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Raith Rovers FC average 8.9 shots (4.5 on target), 3.8 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
The case against. Hamilton Academical FC's record still gives them 52% to win.
The read. Raith Rovers FC or the draw. A tight game. Hamilton Academical FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Hamilton Academical FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Hamilton Academical FC 1-1 Raith Rovers FC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).