Match details. Challenge Cup. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 20:45 Lagos time.
Form. Greenock Morton FC have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L L. Kelty Hearts FC have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L.
The numbers. Greenock Morton FC score one and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Greenock Morton FC average 7.1 shots (3.2 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Kelty Hearts FC score 1.2 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Kelty Hearts FC average 0.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 70% against the records' 50%.
The read. No firm call: Greenock Morton FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Greenock Morton FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Greenock Morton FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Greenock Morton FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Greenock Morton FC Over 1.5 Goals (Greenock Morton FC's own games don't back it (1 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (Greenock Morton FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Greenock Morton FC 2-1 Kelty Hearts FC (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Greenock Morton FC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GRE 4 of 5 (80%) · KEL 5 of 5 (100%)92.7%
Greenock Morton FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Kelty Hearts FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95%
Greenock Morton FC or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
GRE 4 of 5 (80%) · KEL 4 of 5 (80%)84%
Greenock Morton FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Kelty Hearts FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%
Greenock Morton FC or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GRE 4 of 5 (80%) · KEL 4 of 5 (80%)82.5%
Greenock Morton FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Kelty Hearts FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80%
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GRE 5 of 5 (100%) · KEL 5 of 5 (100%)100%
Greenock Morton FC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Kelty Hearts FC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100%
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GRE 4 of 5 (80%) · KEL 5 of 5 (100%)91.2%
Greenock Morton FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Kelty Hearts FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90%
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANIN CODES
1.54
GRE 3 of 5 (60%) · KEL 4 of 5 (80%)67.5%
Greenock Morton FC: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Kelty Hearts FC: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70%
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GRE 3 of 5 (60%) · KEL 4 of 5 (80%)62.7%
Greenock Morton FC: both scored in 3 of 5 at home · Kelty Hearts FC: both scored in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75%
GREENOCK MORTON FC GOALS
Greenock Morton FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GRE 4 of 5 (80%) · KEL 4 of 5 (80%)84%
Greenock Morton FC scored in 4 of 5 at home · Kelty Hearts FC conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%
KELTY HEARTS FC GOALS
Kelty Hearts FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GRE 5 of 5 (100%) · KEL 4 of 5 (80%)78.8%
Kelty Hearts FC scored in 5 of 5 away · Greenock Morton FC conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90%
HALVES
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GRE 4 of 5 (80%) · KEL 5 of 5 (100%)90%
Greenock Morton FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Kelty Hearts FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (Greenock Morton FC are a clear winner - no Unders); Greenock Morton FC Over 1.5 Goals (Greenock Morton FC's own games don't back it (1 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (Greenock Morton FC are a clear winner - no Unders)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–18.7%
Greenock Morton FC goals →
Kelty Hearts FC goals ↓
0-05%
1-07%
2-06%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-16%
1-112%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-25%
1-28%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-32%
1-34%
2-33%
3-32%
4-30.6%
5-30.2%
0-40.9%
1-41%
2-41%
3-40.6%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.3%
1-50.4%
2-50.3%
3-50.2%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
GREENOCK MORTON FCWWWLLLLLDL1.00 PPG
KELTY HEARTS FCLLWLLWWLLL0.90 PPG
THE NUMBERS
GREENOCK MORTON FC HOMExKELTY HEARTS FC AWAY
1.20SCORED A GAME2.501.70CONCEDED A GAME2.5010%CLEAN SHEETS10%4.00CORNERS A GAME0.002.00CARDS A GAME0.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
GREENOCK MORTON FC OR DRAW (1UP)
–
137 OF 146
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.83POINTS A GAME1.25-0.67GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.50-2.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.212LEAGUE GAMES12
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
86%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
64%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
78%
NO · 85/90
GREENOCK MORTON FC OR DRAW
49%
NO · 80/85
KELTY HEARTS FC OR DRAW
50%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
GREENOCK MORTON FCxKELTY HEARTS FC
6GAMES60.83SCORED A GAME0.831.67CONCEDED A GAME2.172.5GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.067%OVER 1.5 GOALS83%50%OVER 2.5 GOALS50%50%BOTH SCORE50%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Greenock Morton FC have scored in 80% of their games.
Kelty Hearts FC have scored in 90% of their games.
Greenock Morton FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Kelty Hearts FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards