Edinburgh City FC vs Partick Thistle FC
Match details. Challenge Cup. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 20:45 Lagos time.
Form. Edinburgh City FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L L. Partick Thistle FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W W.
The numbers. Edinburgh City FC score 2.5 and concede 2.2 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Edinburgh City FC average 0.0 cards a game. Partick Thistle FC score 1.3 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and three games without a goal. Partick Thistle FC average 14.0 shots (6.4 on target), 7.9 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 68% against the records' 41%.
The read. No firm call: Partick Thistle FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Partick Thistle FC the likelier winners; Partick Thistle FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Edinburgh City FC 1-2 Partick Thistle FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).