Bonnyrigg Rose vs Dunfermline Athletic FC
Match details. Challenge Cup. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 20:45 Lagos time.
Form. Bonnyrigg Rose have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L L. Dunfermline Athletic FC have won six, drawn four and lost none of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D D.
The numbers. Bonnyrigg Rose score 1.7 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Bonnyrigg Rose average 0.0 cards a game. Dunfermline Athletic FC score one and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Dunfermline Athletic FC average 13.4 shots (4.3 on target), 6.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 79% against the records' 48%.
The read. No firm call: Dunfermline Athletic FC are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Dunfermline Athletic FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Dunfermline Athletic FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 39%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Bonnyrigg Rose 1-1 Dunfermline Athletic FC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).