Match details. Challenge Cup, Round of 32. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 20:45 Lagos time. It is played at Galabank, Annan.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Annan Athletic FC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D L. Ayr United FC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W L.
The numbers. Annan Athletic FC score one and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Annan Athletic FC average 0.0 cards a game. Ayr United FC score one and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Ayr United FC average 7.0 shots (2.9 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
Head to head. Ayr United FC have won all of the last three meetings. Two of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 15 Jul 2025, it finished Annan Athletic FC 1-6 Ayr United FC.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 69% against the records' 46%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%; two of the last three meetings went over 2.5.
The read. No firm call: Ayr United FC are the better side, but not at this price. Ayr United FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Ayr United FC; the meetings favour Ayr United FC.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Under 5.5 Goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Annan Athletic FC 1-1 Ayr United FC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).