Match details. U19 Division de Honor Juvenil. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. UD Las Palmas have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W W. CD Tenerife have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W.
The numbers. UD Las Palmas score two and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. UD Las Palmas average 12.7 shots (5.3 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. CD Tenerife score 3.1 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with seven clean sheets. CD Tenerife average 18.0 shots (6.5 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
The case against. UD Las Palmas's record still gives them 43% to win.
The read. CD Tenerife to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make CD Tenerife the likelier winners; CD Tenerife are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 80%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); CD Tenerife Over 0.5 Goals (UD Las Palmas's own games don't back it (3 of 7)). Predicted score: UD Las Palmas 1-2 CD Tenerife (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).