Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 10, Group 10 - 9. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 12:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. UD Tomares are 2nd on 17 points after 8 games, 2 points behind Dos Hermanas, 1 point clear of Portuense. A win would take them above Dos Hermanas. Xerez Deportivo FC are 7th on 14 points after 8 games, level on points with San Roque Lepe, 2 points clear of Ceuta II. A win would take them above San Roque Lepe.
Form. UD Tomares have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W. Xerez Deportivo FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D L.
The numbers. UD Tomares score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. UD Tomares average 11.0 shots (6.0 on target), 3.3 corners and 3.2 cards a game. Xerez Deportivo FC score 1.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Xerez Deportivo FC average 11.8 shots (4.0 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The case against. Xerez Deportivo FC's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. UD Tomares to win. Their goals for and against make UD Tomares the likelier winners; UD Tomares are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. Best bet: UD Tomares or Draw at 1.48, 73% on the records (UD Tomares unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home; Xerez Deportivo FC failed to win 4 of 8). Leave: Xerez Deportivo FC Under 1.5 goals (Xerez Deportivo FC's own games don't back it (4 of 8)). Predicted score: UD Tomares 2-1 Xerez Deportivo FC (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
UD Tomares or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDT 5 of 5 (100%) · XER 5 of 5 (100%)94.4%
UD Tomares scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home · Xerez Deportivo FC trailed or failed to win in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · UD Tomares: only games against sides at Xerez Deportivo FC's level
UD Tomares or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDT 5 of 5 (100%) · XER 7 of 8 (88%)93.8%
UD Tomares: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Xerez Deportivo FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · UD Tomares: only games against sides at Xerez Deportivo FC's level · Xerez Deportivo FC: only games against sides at UD Tomares's level
UD Tomares or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDT 5 of 5 (100%) · XER 7 of 8 (88%)92.1%
UD Tomares: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Xerez Deportivo FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · UD Tomares: only games against sides at Xerez Deportivo FC's level · Xerez Deportivo FC: only games against sides at UD Tomares's level
UD Tomares or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDT 4 of 5 (80%) · XER 6 of 8 (75%)77.5%
UD Tomares: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Xerez Deportivo FC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · UD Tomares: only games against sides at Xerez Deportivo FC's level · Xerez Deportivo FC: only games against sides at UD Tomares's level
Double Chance: UD Tomares or DrawMAININ CODES
1.48
UDT 5 of 5 (100%) · XER 4 of 8 (50%)73.3%
UD Tomares unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home · Xerez Deportivo FC failed to win 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · UD Tomares: only games against sides at Xerez Deportivo FC's level · Xerez Deportivo FC: only games against sides at UD Tomares's level
UD Tomares or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDT 4 of 5 (80%) · XER 4 of 8 (50%)65%
UD Tomares: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Xerez Deportivo FC: the bet landed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · UD Tomares: only games against sides at Xerez Deportivo FC's level · Xerez Deportivo FC: only games against sides at UD Tomares's level
UD Tomares (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
2.05
UDT 6 of 7 (86%) · XER 2 of 6 (33%)59.5%
UD Tomares won 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Xerez Deportivo FC lost 2 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 60% · UD Tomares: only games against sides at Xerez Deportivo FC's level · Xerez Deportivo FC: only games against sides at UD Tomares's level · won 5, refunded 3, lost 2
UD Tomares 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDT 3 of 5 (60%) · XER 3 of 5 (60%)56.7%
UD Tomares scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 3 of 5 at home · Xerez Deportivo FC trailed in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · UD Tomares: only games against sides at Xerez Deportivo FC's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDT 5 of 5 (100%) · XER 8 of 8 (100%)100%
UD Tomares: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Xerez Deportivo FC: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · UD Tomares: only games against sides at Xerez Deportivo FC's level · Xerez Deportivo FC: only games against sides at UD Tomares's level
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDT 5 of 5 (100%) · XER 8 of 8 (100%)100%
UD Tomares: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Xerez Deportivo FC: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · UD Tomares: only games against sides at Xerez Deportivo FC's level · Xerez Deportivo FC: only games against sides at UD Tomares's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDT 5 of 5 (100%) · XER 6 of 8 (75%)87.5%
UD Tomares: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Xerez Deportivo FC: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · UD Tomares: only games against sides at Xerez Deportivo FC's level · Xerez Deportivo FC: only games against sides at UD Tomares's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDT 5 of 5 (100%) · XER 5 of 6 (83%)91.7%
UD Tomares's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 5 at home · Xerez Deportivo FC's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · UD Tomares: only games against sides at Xerez Deportivo FC's level · each game weighed by who it was against
Left off the list: Xerez Deportivo FC Under 1.5 goals (Xerez Deportivo FC's own games don't back it (4 of 8))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.5%
UD Tomares goals →
Xerez Deportivo FC goals ↓
0-07%
1-09%
2-08%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.6%
0-16%
1-112%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.7%
0-24%
1-27%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.2%
0-40.5%
1-40.8%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
UD TOMARESDWDLWWDWWW2.10 PPG
XEREZ DEPORTIVO FCDLLWWLDDWW1.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
UD TOMARES HOMExXEREZ DEPORTIVO FC AWAY
1.40SCORED A GAME1.400.90CONCEDED A GAME1.4040%CLEAN SHEETS20%12%FAILED TO SCORE25%3.33CORNERS A GAME4.503.22CARDS A GAME2.50
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
TRENDS
UD Tomares have scored in 90% of their games.
Xerez Deportivo FC have scored in 70% of their games.
UD Tomares kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Xerez Deportivo FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards