Match details. Premier League. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Heart of Lions have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W W. Bechem United have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L W.
The numbers. Heart of Lions score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Heart of Lions average 4.8 shots (1.4 on target), 3.5 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Bechem United score 0.8 and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Bechem United average 2.1 shots (1.0 on target), 2.5 corners and 0.9 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Bechem United are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Heart of Lions. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The case against. Heart of Lions's record still gives them 52% to win.
The read. Bechem United or the draw. Bechem United are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Heart of Lions.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Heart of Lions Over 0.5 Goals (Heart of Lions's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Bechem United Over 0.5 Goals (Heart of Lions's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Heart of Lions 1-1 Bechem United (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Bechem United or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
HEA 3 of 5 (60%) · BEC 3 of 5 (60%)64.6%
Bechem United: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · Heart of Lions: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · Bechem United: only games against sides at Heart of Lions's level · Heart of Lions: only games against sides at Bechem United's level
Bechem United or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
HEA 2 of 5 (40%) · BEC 3 of 5 (60%)62.1%
Bechem United: the bet landed in 2 of 5 away · Heart of Lions: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70% · Bechem United: only games against sides at Heart of Lions's level · Heart of Lions: only games against sides at Bechem United's level
Bechem United or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
HEA 2 of 5 (40%) · BEC 2 of 5 (40%)56.3%
Bechem United scored first 1 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 2 · led or was unbeaten in 2 of 5 away · Heart of Lions trailed or failed to win in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Bechem United: only games against sides at Heart of Lions's level · Heart of Lions: only games against sides at Bechem United's level
Bechem United (Draw No Bet)LEANHELD · the odds board 31%
3.25
HEA 5 of 9 (56%) · BEC 5 of 8 (62%)55.6%
Bechem United won 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Heart of Lions lost 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 59% · Bechem United: only games against sides at Heart of Lions's level · Heart of Lions: only games against sides at Bechem United's level · won 1, refunded 3, lost 6
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
HEA 5 of 5 (100%) · BEC 5 of 5 (100%)95.9%
Heart of Lions: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Bechem United: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Heart of Lions: only games against sides at Bechem United's level · Bechem United: only games against sides at Heart of Lions's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
HEA 4 of 5 (80%) · BEC 4 of 5 (80%)89.7%
Heart of Lions: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Bechem United: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Heart of Lions: only games against sides at Bechem United's level · Bechem United: only games against sides at Heart of Lions's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
HEA 3 of 5 (60%) · BEC 4 of 5 (80%)86.5%
Heart of Lions: over 0.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Bechem United: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · Heart of Lions: only games against sides at Bechem United's level · Bechem United: only games against sides at Heart of Lions's level
Over 1.5 GoalsLEANIN CODES
1.29
HEA 3 of 5 (60%) · BEC 3 of 5 (60%)64.1%
Heart of Lions: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Bechem United: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · Heart of Lions: only games against sides at Bechem United's level · Bechem United: only games against sides at Heart of Lions's level
Left off the list: Heart of Lions Over 0.5 Goals (Heart of Lions's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Bechem United Over 0.5 Goals (Heart of Lions's own games don't back it (2 of 5))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–113.4%
Heart of Lions goals →
Bechem United goals ↓
0-08%
1-09%
2-06%
3-03%
4-00.9%
5-00.2%
0-19%
1-113%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.8%
1-41%
2-40.7%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
HEART OF LIONSLWDLDWWLLL1.10 PPG
BECHEM UNITEDWLWLDWLWLW1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
HEART OF LIONS HOMExBECHEM UNITED AWAY
1.30SCORED A GAME1.601.70CONCEDED A GAME1.3030%CLEAN SHEETS40%3.50CORNERS A GAME2.501.50CARDS A GAME0.88
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
HEART OF LIONS 3:0 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
NO TEAM SCORES 3 IN A ROW
–
85 OF 93
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight or mixed game, the Bank expects under 2.3 goals, and the favourite fails to score in 1 game in 4 or more.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.71POINTS A GAME2.00-0.71GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.71-3.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.07LEAGUE GAMES7
Bechem United: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
BECHEM UNITED 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
58%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
52%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
96%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
HEART OF LIONS OR DRAW
85%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
BECHEM UNITED OR DRAW
76%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
HEART OF LIONSxBECHEM UNITED
5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME1.801.60CONCEDED A GAME1.002.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.880%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Heart of Lions have scored in 70% of their games.
Bechem United have scored in 80% of their games.
Heart of Lions kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Bechem United kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards