Police FC Rwanda vs Bugesera FC
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Police FC Rwanda are 17th on 4 points after 6 games, level on points with Etoile de l'Est, level on points with AS Kigali. A win would take them above Etoile de l'Est. Bugesera FC are 11th on 6 points after 3 games, level on points with APR, level on points with Al Hilal Omdurman. A win would take them above APR.
Form. Police FC Rwanda have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L W. Bugesera FC have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W L.
The numbers. Police FC Rwanda score 0.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Police FC Rwanda average 8.2 shots (1.9 on target), 7.0 corners and 1.6 cards a game. Bugesera FC score 0.9 and concede 1.4 a game in their last eight away, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Bugesera FC average 5.3 shots (1.5 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Police FC Rwanda have won two, drawn one and lost seven. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Police FC Rwanda won one, one was drawn and Bugesera FC won two. The last time they met, on 19 Apr 2026, it finished Police FC Rwanda 0-1 Bugesera FC.
Where it pulls both ways. Police FC Rwanda are the form side, but the meetings favour Bugesera FC: in the last ten meetings, Police FC Rwanda won two, Bugesera FC won seven and one was drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 33%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Police FC Rwanda 0-0 Bugesera FC (15% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).