Gicumbi FC vs Sunrise FC

Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Gicumbi FC are 4th on 9 points after 5 games, 2 points behind Mukura, level on points with Musanze. A win would take them above Mukura. Sunrise FC are 8th on 7 points after 6 games, level on points with Kiyovu Sports, level on points with Etincelles. A win would take them above Kiyovu Sports.

Form. Gicumbi FC have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W W. Sunrise FC have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W D.

The numbers. Gicumbi FC score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Gicumbi FC average 8.6 shots (2.4 on target), 6.5 corners and 1.3 cards a game. Sunrise FC score 0.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Sunrise FC average 8.0 shots (2.8 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last four meetings Gicumbi FC have won one, drawn none and lost three. One of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 7 Mar 2020, it finished Gicumbi FC 0-1 Sunrise FC.

Where it pulls both ways. Gicumbi FC are the form side, but the meetings favour Sunrise FC: in the last four meetings, Gicumbi FC won one and Sunrise FC won three.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%. Three of the last four meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Gicumbi FC 1-1 Sunrise FC (13% chance).