Match details. Serie D, Group H. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. Turris Calcio have won four, drawn six and lost none of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W D. Virtus Francavilla Calcio have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W.
The numbers. Turris Calcio score 1.2 and concede 0.5 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and three games without a goal. Turris Calcio average 8.9 shots (3.4 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Virtus Francavilla Calcio score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Virtus Francavilla Calcio average 14.4 shots (5.6 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Virtus Francavilla Calcio or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 1.5 Cards (the signs point different ways); Virtus Francavilla Calcio Over 0.5 Goals (Turris Calcio's own games don't back it (4 of 8)). Predicted score: Turris Calcio 1-1 Virtus Francavilla Calcio (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).