Match details. Serie D, Group H. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. Real Forio 2014 have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. ASD Real Normanna have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L D.
The numbers. Real Forio 2014 score 1.3 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Real Forio 2014 average 5.5 corners and 3.0 cards a game. ASD Real Normanna score two and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. ASD Real Normanna average 14.0 shots (5.5 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
The case against. Real Forio 2014's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. ASD Real Normanna to win. An open game. ASD Real Normanna are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour ASD Real Normanna. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: ASD Real Normanna or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Real Forio 2014 1-2 ASD Real Normanna (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).