Celtic vs St Mirren FC
Match details. Premiership. Kick-off is Sat 21 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Celtic have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W L. St Mirren FC have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L L.
The numbers. Celtic score 2.3 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six at home, with no clean sheets. Celtic average 9.5 corners and 1.8 cards a game. St Mirren FC score 0.4 and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. St Mirren FC average 4.0 corners and 2.9 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 87% against the records' 62%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The read. No firm call: Celtic are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make Celtic the likelier winners; Celtic are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Celtic.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Celtic 2-0 St Mirren FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).