Match details. Serie B, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Arena Garibaldi, Pizza. The referee is Alberto Poli.
What's at stake. SC Pisa are 8th on 15 points after 10 games, level on points with Hellas Verona, 1 point clear of Padova. A win would take them above Hellas Verona. FC Sudtirol Bolzano are 10th on 14 points after 10 games, level on points with Padova, 2 points clear of Cremonese. A win would take them above Padova.
Form. SC Pisa have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten league games, 1.5 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L D D W W. In this competition SC Pisa have gone L D D W W D. FC Sudtirol Bolzano have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten league games, 1.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D L D L D. In this competition FC Sudtirol Bolzano have gone D L D L D W.
The numbers. SC Pisa score 1.8 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. SC Pisa average 15.1 shots (5.6 on target), 6.4 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 51% of the ball. FC Sudtirol Bolzano score 1.1 and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. FC Sudtirol Bolzano average 12.6 shots (3.8 on target), 3.5 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last six meetings SC Pisa have won two, drawn two and lost two. Five of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, SC Pisa won two and two were drawn. The last time they met, on 9 May 2025, it finished SC Pisa 3-3 FC Sudtirol Bolzano: SC Pisa had 15 shots to 9, 66% of the ball, five yellow cards.
The case against. FC Sudtirol Bolzano's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. SC Pisa or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make SC Pisa the likelier winners. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%. Five of the last six meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.25, rated 76% (SC Pisa: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; FC Sudtirol Bolzano: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10). The safer one: SC Pisa Under 3.5 Goals at 1.11 (91%). Predicted score: SC Pisa 2-1 FC Sudtirol Bolzano (10% chance).
The agreed story. SC Pisa or the draw, an open game.
The league run. SC Pisa: no win in their last three league games (L D D W W). FC Sudtirol Bolzano: no win in their last three league games (D L D L D).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).