Match details. 3. Liga, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Audi Sportpark, Ingolstadt.
What's at stake. FC Ingolstadt 04 are 7th on 18 points after 12 games, level on points with SV Wehen, 2 points clear of Waldhof Mannheim. A win would take them above SV Wehen. Fortuna D are 10th on 16 points after 12 games, level on points with Hoffenheim II, level on points with Hansa Rostock. A win would take them above Hoffenheim II.
Form. FC Ingolstadt 04 have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W L. In this competition FC Ingolstadt 04 have gone D W W W L L. Fortuna D have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W D. In this competition Fortuna D have gone D D L W D L.
The numbers. FC Ingolstadt 04 score 1.2 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. FC Ingolstadt 04 average 14.9 shots (4.2 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. Fortuna D score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Fortuna D average 15.6 shots (4.5 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings FC Ingolstadt 04 have won two, drawn three and lost five. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Fortuna D won four. The last time they met, on 6 Mar 2022, it finished FC Ingolstadt 04 0-3 Fortuna D: FC Ingolstadt 04 had 11 shots to 22, 32% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The case against. FC Ingolstadt 04's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. Fortuna D to win. Both teams' records favour Fortuna D; the meetings favour Fortuna D.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: FC Ingolstadt 04 0-1 Fortuna D (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).