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GERMANY - 3. LIGA
FC Ingolstadt 04 crestFIFCI
14:00Sat 7 Nov
FORFortuna D crestFD

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Fortuna D

CLASS E
THE READ

Match details. 3. Liga, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Audi Sportpark, Ingolstadt.

What's at stake. FC Ingolstadt 04 are 7th on 18 points after 12 games, level on points with SV Wehen, 2 points clear of Waldhof Mannheim. A win would take them above SV Wehen. Fortuna D are 10th on 16 points after 12 games, level on points with Hoffenheim II, level on points with Hansa Rostock. A win would take them above Hoffenheim II.

Form. FC Ingolstadt 04 have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W L. In this competition FC Ingolstadt 04 have gone D W W W L L. Fortuna D have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W D. In this competition Fortuna D have gone D D L W D L.

The numbers. FC Ingolstadt 04 score 1.2 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. FC Ingolstadt 04 average 14.9 shots (4.2 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. Fortuna D score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Fortuna D average 15.6 shots (4.5 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings FC Ingolstadt 04 have won two, drawn three and lost five. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Fortuna D won four. The last time they met, on 6 Mar 2022, it finished FC Ingolstadt 04 0-3 Fortuna D: FC Ingolstadt 04 had 11 shots to 22, 32% of the ball, seven yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.

The case against. FC Ingolstadt 04's record still gives them 32% to win.

The read. Fortuna D to win. Both teams' records favour Fortuna D; the meetings favour Fortuna D.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: FC Ingolstadt 04 0-1 Fortuna D (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCI 4 of 5 (80%) · FOR 5 of 5 (100%)96%
FC Ingolstadt 04: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Fortuna D: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 6 of 6 · FC Ingolstadt 04: only games against sides at Fortuna D's level · Fortuna D: only games against sides at FC Ingolstadt 04's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCI 5 of 5 (100%) · FOR 4 of 5 (80%)92.6%
FC Ingolstadt 04: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Fortuna D: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 6 of 6 · FC Ingolstadt 04: only games against sides at Fortuna D's level · Fortuna D: only games against sides at FC Ingolstadt 04's level
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.18
FCI 4 of 5 (80%) · FOR 5 of 5 (100%)83.5%
FC Ingolstadt 04: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Fortuna D: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 5 of 6 · FC Ingolstadt 04: only games against sides at Fortuna D's level · Fortuna D: only games against sides at FC Ingolstadt 04's level
FC INGOLSTADT 04 GOALS
FC Ingolstadt 04 Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.25
FCI 4 of 5 (80%) · FOR 4 of 5 (80%)79.5%
FC Ingolstadt 04 scored in 4 of 5 at home · Fortuna D conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 3 of 6 · FC Ingolstadt 04: only games against sides at Fortuna D's level · Fortuna D: only games against sides at FC Ingolstadt 04's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCI 7 of 8 (88%) · FOR 6 of 8 (75%)81.3%
FC Ingolstadt 04's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Fortuna D's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · FC Ingolstadt 04: only games against sides at Fortuna D's level · Fortuna D: only games against sides at FC Ingolstadt 04's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–1 7.8%
FC Ingolstadt 04 goals →
Fortuna D goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.7%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10
FC INGOLSTADT 04WLWLLLWWWD1.60 PPG
FORTUNA DWDWWLDWLDD1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
FC INGOLSTADT 04 HOMExFORTUNA D AWAY
1.30SCORED A GAME1.101.40CONCEDED A GAME1.0040%CLEAN SHEETS30%17%FAILED TO SCORE33%5.12CORNERS A GAME4.622.62CARDS A GAME2.75
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.50POINTS A GAME1.60-0.08GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.10-2.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.72.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.212LEAGUE GAMES10
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
68%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
49%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
97%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
FC INGOLSTADT 04 OR DRAW
53%
NO · 80/85
FORTUNA D OR DRAW
74%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
FC INGOLSTADT 04xFORTUNA D
6GAMES51.33SCORED A GAME1.002.00CONCEDED A GAME0.803.3GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.883%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%83%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%67%BOTH SCORE60%3.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.610.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.8
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
FC INGOLSTADT 04 2 · 20%DRAW 3FORTUNA D 5 · 50%
4 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
6 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
5 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2012-02-04FC Ingolstadt 04 1 – 1 Fortuna D
2013-10-20FC Ingolstadt 04 1 – 2 Fortuna D
2014-03-28FC Ingolstadt 04 0 – 0 Fortuna D
2014-10-31FC Ingolstadt 04 0 – 0 Fortuna D
2015-04-17FC Ingolstadt 04 3 – 2 Fortuna D
2017-11-19FC Ingolstadt 04 1 – 0 Fortuna D
2018-04-22FC Ingolstadt 04 0 – 3 Fortuna D
2020-09-12FC Ingolstadt 04 0 – 1 Fortuna D
TRENDS
FC Ingolstadt 04 failed to score in 17% of their games.
Fortuna D failed to score in 33% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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