Hobro IK vs Esbjerg FB
Match details. 1. Division, Regular Season - 14. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 13:30 Lagos time. It is played at DS Arena, Hobro. The referee is J. Bogelund.
What's at stake. Hobro IK are 6th on 16 points after 13 games, 2 points behind Aarhus Fremad, 1 point clear of Kolding IF. A win would take them above Aarhus Fremad. Esbjerg FB are 12th on 11 points after 13 games, level on points with HB Koge. A win would take them above HB Koge.
Form. Hobro IK have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L D L. Esbjerg FB have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D D.
The numbers. Hobro IK score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Hobro IK average 5.0 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Esbjerg FB score 1.3 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. Esbjerg FB average 4.1 corners and 1.1 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Hobro IK have won two, drawn two and lost five. Seven of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in eight. In the last four, Hobro IK won two, one was drawn and Esbjerg FB won one. The last time they met, on 15 Aug 2026, it finished Hobro IK 2-1 Esbjerg FB.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%; seven of the last nine meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. A draw. An open game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%. Seven of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.20, 75% on the records (Hobro IK: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Esbjerg FB: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8). Full cover: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.18. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Predicted score: Hobro IK 2-2 Esbjerg FB (6% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).