Portsmouth FC vs Stoke City
Match details. Championship, Regular Season - 15. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 13:30 Lagos time. It is played at Fratton Park, Portsmouth.
What's at stake. Portsmouth FC are 10th on 22 points after 14 games, level on points with Sheffield Utd, 1 point clear of QPR. A win would take them above Sheffield Utd. Stoke City are 4th on 26 points after 14 games, level on points with Birmingham, level on points with Swansea. A win would take them above Birmingham.
Form. Portsmouth FC have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D W. Stoke City have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W L.
The numbers. Portsmouth FC score 2.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Portsmouth FC average 13.0 shots (3.2 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. Stoke City score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Stoke City average 12.4 shots (3.8 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last five meetings Portsmouth FC have won two, drawn none and lost three. Four of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Portsmouth FC won two and Stoke City won two. The last time they met, on 25 Apr 2026, it finished Portsmouth FC 3-1 Stoke City: Portsmouth FC had 8 shots to 13, 52% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%; four of the last five meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Stoke City's record still gives them 45% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. Portsmouth FC or the draw. An open game. Both teams' records favour Stoke City. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%. Four of the last five meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.38, 75% on the records (Portsmouth FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Stoke City: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.30. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Portsmouth FC or Draw & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Portsmouth FC 2-1 Stoke City (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).