Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld
Match details. De2, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 13:00 Lagos time. It is played at Holstein-Stadion, Kiel.
What's at stake. Holstein Kiel are 17th on 8 points after 10 games, 1 point behind SV Darmstadt 98, level on points with Dynamo Dresden. A win would take them above SV Darmstadt 98. Arminia Bielefeld are 7th on 14 points after 10 games, 1 point behind 1. FC Heidenheim, 2 points clear of FC St. Pauli. A win would take them above 1. FC Heidenheim.
Form. Holstein Kiel have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L D. In this competition Holstein Kiel have gone L W D L D L. Arminia Bielefeld have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W D. In this competition Arminia Bielefeld have gone W L W W D L.
The numbers. Holstein Kiel score 1.6 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Holstein Kiel average 13.1 shots (2.9 on target), 5.6 corners and 3.5 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Arminia Bielefeld score 0.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Arminia Bielefeld average 12.5 shots (3.2 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Holstein Kiel have won none, drawn one and lost seven. Six of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, one was drawn and Arminia Bielefeld won three. The last time they met, on 23 Jan 2026, it finished Holstein Kiel 2-2 Arminia Bielefeld: Holstein Kiel had 8 shots to 14, 38% of the ball, four yellow cards.
The case against. Holstein Kiel's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. Arminia Bielefeld to win. An open game. Arminia Bielefeld are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Arminia Bielefeld. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%. Six of the last eight meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Holstein Kiel 1-2 Arminia Bielefeld (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).