Match details. In3. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. Chennaiyin FC have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D L. East Bengal FC have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L D.
The numbers. Chennaiyin FC score 0.5 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. Chennaiyin FC average 10.5 shots (3.9 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 51% of the ball. East Bengal FC score two and concede 0.5 a game in their last six away, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. East Bengal FC average 17.9 shots (7.1 on target), 6.3 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
The read. East Bengal FC to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make East Bengal FC the likelier winners; East Bengal FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour East Bengal FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or East Bengal FC at 1.20, 93% on the records (East Bengal FC unbeaten in 6 of 6 away; Chennaiyin FC failed to win 9 of 10). Predicted score: Chennaiyin FC 0-1 East Bengal FC (15% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).