Match details. HNL, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Radnik, Veliky Gorica.
What's at stake. HNK Gorica are 10th on 7 points after 12 games, 4 points behind NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. NK Slaven Belupo are 7th on 13 points after 12 games, 3 points behind Istra 1961, level on points with Rudes. A win would take them level on points with Istra 1961.
Form. HNK Gorica have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L W. NK Slaven Belupo have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L W.
The numbers. HNK Gorica score 0.6 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. HNK Gorica average 9.0 shots (2.9 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 44% of the ball. NK Slaven Belupo score 1.5 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. NK Slaven Belupo average 12.2 shots (3.9 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings HNK Gorica have won two, drawn one and lost six. Seven of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, one was drawn and NK Slaven Belupo won three. The last time they met, on 22 Aug 2026, it finished HNK Gorica 0-2 NK Slaven Belupo: HNK Gorica had 13 shots to 16, 57% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%; seven of the last nine meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. NK Slaven Belupo's record still gives them 47% to win. The meetings do not back them. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. HNK Gorica or the draw. An open game. NK Slaven Belupo are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour NK Slaven Belupo; the meetings favour NK Slaven Belupo. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%. Seven of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.25, 74% on the records (HNK Gorica: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 9; NK Slaven Belupo: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8). Backup: Under 2.5 first-half goals at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: HNK Gorica 2-1 NK Slaven Belupo (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).