Match details. Super Lig. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 11:30 Lagos time.
Form. Eyupspor have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. Kocaelispor have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L L.
The numbers. Eyupspor score 0.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Eyupspor average 9.0 shots (3.4 on target), 3.5 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Kocaelispor score 1.4 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. Kocaelispor average 4.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
The case against. Eyupspor's record still gives them 25% to win.
The read. Kocaelispor to win. A tight game. Kocaelispor are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Kocaelispor. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.27, 75% on the records (Eyupspor: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Kocaelispor: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 9). Full cover: Over 0.5 Goals at 1.09. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Predicted score: Eyupspor 0-1 Kocaelispor (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).