Valenciennes FC vs US Orleans
Match details. Ligue 3. Kick-off is Thu 5 Nov, 20:45 Lagos time.
Form. Valenciennes FC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W L. US Orleans have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D D L.
The numbers. Valenciennes FC score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Valenciennes FC average 0.8 corners and 0.4 cards a game. US Orleans score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. US Orleans average 1.2 corners and 0.8 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 33%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Valenciennes FC 1-1 US Orleans (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).