INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - UEFA EUROPA LEAGUE

STSCU

21:00Thu 5 Nov

FCA

SCU Torreense vs FC Ararat-Armenia

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. UEFA Europa League, League Stage - 4. Kick-off is Thu 5 Nov, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, Leiria, a neutral ground. The referee is Milos Milanovic.

What's at stake. SCU Torreense are 28th on 3 points after 3 games, level on points with Jagiellonia, 2 points clear of Celje. A win would take them above Jagiellonia. FC Ararat-Armenia are 36th on 0 points after 3 games, level on points with Celtic. A win would take them above Celtic.

Team news. SCU Torreense are without A. Baradji (injury), A. Baradji (injury). FC Ararat-Armenia are without P. Ayongo (off the roster), P. Ayongo (off the roster).

Form. SCU Torreense have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L L. FC Ararat-Armenia have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L W.

The numbers. SCU Torreense score 0.9 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. SCU Torreense average 9.5 shots (3.1 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.7 cards a game, with 38% of the ball. FC Ararat-Armenia score 1.6 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. FC Ararat-Armenia average 12.5 shots (5.2 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.

The case against. FC Ararat-Armenia's record still gives them 45% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.

The read. SCU Torreense or the draw. An open game. FC Ararat-Armenia are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Ararat-Armenia. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: SCU Torreense 2-1 FC Ararat-Armenia (7% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

SCU Torreense or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SCU 7 of 10 (70%) · FCA 9 of 10 (90%)83.8%

SCU Torreense: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Ararat-Armenia: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%

SCU Torreense or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY

1.18

SCU 6 of 10 (60%) · FCA 7 of 10 (70%)76.2%

SCU Torreense: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Ararat-Armenia: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65%

SCU Torreense or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANIN CODES

1.34

SCU 7 of 10 (70%) · FCA 7 of 10 (70%)66.2%

SCU Torreense: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Ararat-Armenia: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.31

SCU 6 of 10 (60%) · FCA 9 of 10 (90%)84.5%

SCU Torreense: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Ararat-Armenia: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%

SCU TORREENSE GOALS

SCU Torreense Over 0.5 goalsPAGE ONLY

1.19

SCU 6 of 10 (60%) · FCA 7 of 10 (70%)76.2%

SCU Torreense scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Ararat-Armenia conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65%

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.43

SCU 7 of 10 (70%) · FCA 9 of 9 (100%)85%

SCU Torreense: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Ararat-Armenia: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.28

SCU 7 of 10 (70%) · FCA 7 of 9 (78%)73.9%

SCU Torreense: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Ararat-Armenia: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · on half-time scores

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsIN CODES

1.24

SCU 8 of 10 (80%) · FCA 7 of 10 (70%)75%

SCU Torreense's games: over 3.5 cards in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Ararat-Armenia's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%

Left off the list: Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (49%) and the records (60%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 7.2%

SCU Torreense goals →

FC Ararat-Armenia goals ↓

0-08%

1-08%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.6%

5-00.1%

0-110%

1-113%

2-17%

3-13%

4-10.8%

5-10.2%

0-28%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.6%

5-20.1%

0-34%

1-34%

2-33%

3-31.0%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-42%

2-40.9%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.4%

1-50.5%

2-50.3%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

SCU TORREENSEDLWDWLLLWD1.20 PPG

FC ARARAT-ARMENIAWLWDLWLWDW1.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SCU TORREENSE HOMExFC ARARAT-ARMENIA AWAY

0.90SCORED A GAME1.601.30CONCEDED A GAME1.5040%CLEAN SHEETS30%0%FAILED TO SCORE20%4.20CORNERS A GAME5.002.70CARDS A GAME2.60

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.40POINTS A GAME2.30-0.20GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.10-1.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+4.21.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.65LEAGUE GAMES10

FC Ararat-Armenia: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

FC ARARAT-ARMENIA 0:2 HANDICAP

–

373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

88%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

70%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

71%

NO · 85/90

SCU TORREENSE OR DRAW

40%

NO · 80/85

FC ARARAT-ARMENIA OR DRAW

63%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

SCU TORREENSExFC ARARAT-ARMENIA

5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME2.400.80CONCEDED A GAME0.601.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.040%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%0%BOTH SCORE60%6.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–8.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TEAM NEWS

SCU TORREENSE

Out: A. Baradji (Injury), A. Baradji (Injury)

FC ARARAT-ARMENIA

Out: P. Ayongo (Off the roster), P. Ayongo (Off the roster)

TRENDS

SCU Torreense have scored in 60% of their games.

FC Ararat-Armenia have scored in 90% of their games.

SCU Torreense kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

FC Ararat-Armenia kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards