EDGE PICKOFI Crete Under 1.5 goals · 61.1% · @1.54
Book 65% · Us 61%-4price too short
Backed by
OFI Crete scored under 1.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 55% · each game weighed by who it was against
· main loses on: 0-0, 1-0, 0-1 | hedge wins on all of them
THE READ
Match details. UEFA Europa League, League Stage - 4. Kick-off is Thu 5 Nov, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at Giulești, Bucharest, a neutral ground.
What's at stake. Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC are 30th on 1 point after 3 games, level on points with Celje, level on points with Lillestrom. A win would take them above Celje. OFI Crete are 26th on 3 points after 3 games, level on points with Celta Vigo, level on points with Jagiellonia. A win would take them above Celta Vigo.
Form. Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W L. OFI Crete have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L L.
The numbers. Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC score 1.9 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC average 8.0 shots (3.5 on target), 2.3 corners and 3.4 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. OFI Crete score 1.2 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. OFI Crete average 8.9 shots (3.2 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 38% of the ball.
The case against. OFI Crete's record still gives them 35% to win.
The read. Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC the likelier winners; Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.20, 74% on the records (Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10; OFI Crete: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10). Backup: Under 2.5 first-half goals at 1.16. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 4.5 cards (the signs point different ways); 1X2 - 2UP: Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC 2-1 OFI Crete (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
HAP 9 of 10 (90%) · OFI 8 of 10 (80%)79.8%
Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · OFI Crete: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · each game weighed by who it was against
Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.36
HAP 9 of 10 (90%) · OFI 7 of 10 (70%)75.5%
Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · OFI Crete: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · each game weighed by who it was against
Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES
1.20
HAP 8 of 10 (80%) · OFI 7 of 10 (70%)71.2%
Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · OFI Crete: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · each game weighed by who it was against
Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.56
HAP 6 of 9 (67%) · OFI 5 of 9 (56%)66%
Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC won 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · OFI Crete lost 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 61% · each game weighed by who it was against · won 11, refunded 2, lost 7
Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.23
HAP 3 of 5 (60%) · OFI 7 of 10 (70%)65.8%
Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · OFI Crete trailed or failed to win in 4 of 6 away · each game weighed by who it was against
Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
1.49
HAP 3 of 5 (60%) · OFI 6 of 10 (60%)61.8%
Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC scored first 2 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · OFI Crete trailed in 4 of 6 away · each game weighed by who it was against
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAINLEANIN CODES
1.20
HAP 8 of 10 (80%) · OFI 7 of 10 (70%)64.9%
Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · OFI Crete: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · each game weighed by who it was against
HAPOEL BE`ER SHEVA FC GOALS
Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.22
HAP 8 of 10 (80%) · OFI 7 of 10 (70%)71.2%
Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · OFI Crete conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · each game weighed by who it was against
OFI CRETE GOALS
OFI Crete Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.54
HAP 6 of 10 (60%) · OFI 5 of 10 (50%)61.1%
OFI Crete scored under 1.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 55% · each game weighed by who it was against
OFI Crete Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.32
HAP 7 of 10 (70%) · OFI 6 of 10 (60%)56.4%
OFI Crete scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC conceded in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · each game weighed by who it was against
HALVES
Under 2.5 first-half goalsBACKUPPAGE ONLY
1.16
HAP 8 of 10 (80%) · OFI 10 of 10 (100%)90.2%
Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · OFI Crete: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.27
HAP 8 of 10 (80%) · OFI 9 of 10 (90%)85.2%
Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · OFI Crete: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.20
HAP 8 of 10 (80%) · OFI 9 of 10 (90%)84.2%
Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · OFI Crete: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.58
HAP 8 of 10 (80%) · OFI 7 of 10 (70%)75.2%
Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · OFI Crete: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Left off the list: Over 4.5 cards (the numbers (28%) and the records (77%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); 1X2 - 2UP: Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC (the numbers (48%) and the records (62%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC to Win (the numbers (46%) and the records (54%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.3%
Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC goals →
OFI Crete goals ↓
0-05%
1-07%
2-07%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.6%
0-16%
1-111%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.8%
0-24%
1-27%
2-26%
3-24%
4-22%
5-20.5%
0-32%
1-33%
2-33%
3-32%
4-30.7%
5-30.2%
0-40.6%
1-41%
2-40.9%
3-40.5%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
HAPOEL BE`ER SHEVA FCWWLWLWWDWL1.90 PPG
OFI CRETEWLWLLLLDWW1.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
HAPOEL BE`ER SHEVA FC HOMExOFI CRETE AWAY
0.33SCORED A GAME1.002.00CONCEDED A GAME1.3340%CLEAN SHEETS30%67%FAILED TO SCORE20%2.33CORNERS A GAME3.603.38CARDS A GAME2.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.38POINTS A GAME1.43+1.38GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.14+1.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-6.03.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.48LEAGUE GAMES7
Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
HAPOEL BE`ER SHEVA FC 2:0 HANDICAP
–
389 OF 413
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
75%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
53%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
94%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
HAPOEL BE`ER SHEVA FC OR DRAW
83%
OKAY · 80/85
OFI CRETE OR DRAW
32%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
HAPOEL BE`ER SHEVA FCxOFI CRETE
5GAMES53.00SCORED A GAME1.601.00CONCEDED A GAME2.004.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.4–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.2
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC have scored in 80% of their games.
OFI Crete have scored in 70% of their games.
Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
OFI Crete kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards