INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - UEFA EUROPA LEAGUE

CELCEL

21:00Thu 5 Nov

UNI

Celta vs Union Gilloise

CLASS A

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. UEFA Europa League, League Stage - 4. Kick-off is Thu 5 Nov, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at Municipal de Balaídos, Vigo. The referee is Aliyar Agayev.

What's at stake. Celta are 25th on 3 points after 3 games, level on points with AC Milan, level on points with OFI. A win would take them above AC Milan. Union Gilloise are 6th on 7 points after 3 games, 2 points behind Ferencvarosi TC, level on points with Juventus. A win would take them above Ferencvarosi TC.

Team news. Celta are without H. F. Cuenca Martinez (muscle injury), J. El Abdellaoui (knee injury), B. Iglesias (calf injury), A. Nunez (groin injury), M. Roman (knee injury), C. Starfelt (muscle injury). Union Gilloise are without A. Ait El Hadj (off the roster), M. Biondic (knee injury), I. Hurtevent (knock), O. Kricfalusi (knock), K. Mac Allister (knee injury), I. Pavlic (off the roster).

Form. Celta have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W L. Union Gilloise have won eight, drawn two and lost none of their last ten, 2.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D.

The numbers. Celta score 1.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Celta average 11.3 shots (3.3 on target), 3.6 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Union Gilloise score 2.9 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. Union Gilloise average 17.7 shots (8.9 on target), 6.7 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 55% of the ball.

The case against. Union Gilloise's record still gives them 51% to win.

The read. Celta or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Their goals for and against make Union Gilloise the likelier winners; Union Gilloise are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Union Gilloise. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Celta 2-1 Union Gilloise (6% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Celta or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CEL 4 of 5 (80%) · UNI 10 of 10 (100%)82.4%

Celta: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Union Gilloise: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · each game weighed by who it was against

Celta or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.35

CEL 3 of 5 (60%) · UNI 7 of 10 (70%)55.4%

Celta: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Union Gilloise: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 59% · each game weighed by who it was against

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.31

CEL 4 of 5 (80%) · UNI 10 of 10 (100%)89.4%

Celta: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Union Gilloise: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · each game weighed by who it was against

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.14

CEL 4 of 5 (80%) · UNI 7 of 10 (70%)83.8%

Celta: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Union Gilloise: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · each game weighed by who it was against

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.69

CEL 3 of 5 (60%) · UNI 7 of 10 (70%)55.4%

Celta: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Union Gilloise: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 59% · each game weighed by who it was against

CELTA GOALS

Celta Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.28

CEL 4 of 5 (80%) · UNI 5 of 10 (50%)69.1%

Celta scored in 4 of 5 at home · Union Gilloise conceded in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 53% · each game weighed by who it was against

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.26

CEL 4 of 5 (80%) · UNI 10 of 10 (100%)86.4%

Celta: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Union Gilloise: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.57

CEL 4 of 5 (80%) · UNI 7 of 10 (70%)77.5%

Celta: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Union Gilloise: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

CORNERS

Over 5.5 CornersPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CEL 4 of 5 (80%) · UNI 9 of 10 (90%)87.5%

Celta's games: over 5.5 corners in 4 of 5 at home · Union Gilloise's games: over 5.5 corners in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · each game weighed by who it was against

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 5.8%

Celta goals →

Union Gilloise goals ↓

0-06%

1-05%

2-03%

3-01%

4-00.3%

5-00.1%

0-110%

1-112%

2-16%

3-12%

4-10.5%

5-10.1%

0-29%

1-210%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.5%

5-20.1%

0-36%

1-36%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-43%

1-43%

2-41%

3-40.5%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.9%

1-51.0%

2-50.5%

3-50.2%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

CELTADDLWDLWWDL1.30 PPG

UNION GILLOISEWWWWDDWWWW2.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CELTA HOMExUNION GILLOISE AWAY

1.20SCORED A GAME2.901.00CONCEDED A GAME0.7030%CLEAN SHEETS50%33%FAILED TO SCORE0%3.60CORNERS A GAME6.701.50CARDS A GAME1.90

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.20POINTS A GAME2.56+0.20GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+2.00-2.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+5.31.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.610LEAGUE GAMES9

Union Gilloise: the quality side - more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

86%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

66%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

93%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

CELTA OR DRAW

42%

NO · 80/85

UNION GILLOISE OR DRAW

79%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

CELTAxUNION GILLOISE

5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME3.000.80CONCEDED A GAME0.802.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.860%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%20%BOTH SCORE60%3.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.06.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.8

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TEAM NEWS

CELTA

Out: H. F. Cuenca Martinez (Muscle Injury), J. El Abdellaoui (Knee Injury), B. Iglesias (Calf Injury), A. Nunez (Groin Injury), M. Roman (Knee Injury), C. Starfelt (Muscle Injury)

UNION GILLOISE

Out: A. Ait El Hadj (Off the roster), M. Biondic (Knee Injury), I. Hurtevent (Knock), O. Kricfalusi (Knock), K. Mac Allister (Knee Injury), I. Pavlic (Off the roster)

TRENDS

Celta have scored in 60% of their games.

Union Gilloise have scored in 100% of their games.

Celta kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Union Gilloise kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards