Match details. UEFA Europa League, League Stage - 4. Kick-off is Thu 5 Nov, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen. The referee is Orel Grinfeld.
What's at stake. Bayer Leverkusen are 3rd on 9 points after 3 games, level on points with Benfica, level on points with Bournemouth. A win would take them above Benfica. Marseille are 34th on 0 points after 3 games, level on points with Plzen, level on points with Celtic. A win would take them above Plzen.
Team news. Bayer Leverkusen are without E. Ben Seghir (muscle injury), V. Boniface (off the roster), M. Diaby (hamstring injury), G. Doue (calf injury), K. Eichhorn (illness), C. Kofane (muscle injury). Marseille are without D. Cornelius (hip injury), Emerson (knee injury), D. Cornelius (hip injury), Emerson (knee injury).
Form. Bayer Leverkusen have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W W. Marseille have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W L.
The numbers. Bayer Leverkusen score 2.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Bayer Leverkusen average 18.0 shots (7.6 on target), 7.9 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 60% of the ball. Marseille score 1.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Marseille average 10.9 shots (4.0 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 58% of the ball.
The case against. Marseille's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. Bayer Leverkusen to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Bayer Leverkusen the likelier winners; Bayer Leverkusen are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Bayer Leverkusen. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The bets. Best bet: Bayer Leverkusen 1UP at 1.15, 80% on the records (Bayer Leverkusen scored first 2 of last 5, led in 4; led in 4 of 5 at home). Leave: Bayer Leverkusen Win & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Marseille (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Bayer Leverkusen or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BAY 5 of 5 (100%) · MAR 5 of 5 (100%)100%
Bayer Leverkusen: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Marseille: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · each game weighed by who it was against
Bayer Leverkusen or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.11
BAY 5 of 5 (100%) · MAR 4 of 5 (80%)95%
Bayer Leverkusen: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Marseille: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · each game weighed by who it was against
Bayer Leverkusen (Draw No Bet)IN CODES
1.12
BAY 4 of 5 (80%) · MAR 3 of 5 (60%)86.7%
Bayer Leverkusen won 4 of 5 at home (draws left out) · Marseille lost 3 of 5 away (draws left out) · both last 10: 69% · each game weighed by who it was against · won 7, refunded 0, lost 3
Double Chance: Bayer Leverkusen or DrawIN CODES
1.12
BAY 4 of 5 (80%) · MAR 3 of 5 (60%)85.7%
Bayer Leverkusen unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · Marseille failed to win 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · each game weighed by who it was against
Bayer Leverkusen 1UPMAININ CODES
1.15
BAY 4 of 5 (80%) · MAR 4 of 5 (80%)80%
Bayer Leverkusen scored first 2 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 4 of 5 at home · Marseille trailed in 4 of 5 away
1X2 - 2UP: Bayer LeverkusenIN CODES
1.35
BAY 4 of 5 (80%) · MAR 4 of 5 (80%)73.3%
Bayer Leverkusen scored first 2 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 4 · led by 2 or won in 4 of 5 at home · Marseille trailed by 2 or lost in 3 of 5 away
Bayer Leverkusen to Win Either Half: YesPAGE ONLY
1.18
BAY 4 of 5 (80%) · MAR 3 of 5 (60%)71.7%
Bayer Leverkusen: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Marseille: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
1st Half Result or Match Result: Bayer LeverkusenPAGE ONLY
1.20
BAY 4 of 5 (80%) · MAR 3 of 5 (60%)70.1%
Bayer Leverkusen: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Marseille: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Bayer Leverkusen to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.44
BAY 4 of 5 (80%) · MAR 3 of 5 (60%)65.5%
Bayer Leverkusen won 4 of 5 at home · Marseille lost 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · each game weighed by who it was against
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BAY 5 of 5 (100%) · MAR 5 of 5 (100%)97%
Bayer Leverkusen: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Marseille: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · each game weighed by who it was against
Under 5.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.21
BAY 3 of 5 (60%) · MAR 4 of 5 (80%)92.2%
Bayer Leverkusen: under 5.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Marseille: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · each game weighed by who it was against
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.10
BAY 5 of 5 (100%) · MAR 3 of 5 (60%)89.5%
Bayer Leverkusen: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Marseille: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · each game weighed by who it was against
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.47
BAY 3 of 5 (60%) · MAR 3 of 5 (60%)75%
Bayer Leverkusen: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Marseille: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · each game weighed by who it was against
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.45
BAY 3 of 5 (60%) · MAR 2 of 5 (40%)61%
Bayer Leverkusen: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Marseille: over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · each game weighed by who it was against
BAYER LEVERKUSEN GOALS
Bayer Leverkusen Over 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.29
BAY 5 of 5 (100%) · MAR 2 of 5 (40%)65.2%
Bayer Leverkusen scored over 1.5 in 5 of 5 at home · Marseille conceded over 1.5 in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · each game weighed by who it was against
MARSEILLE GOALS
Marseille Under 1.5 goalsLEANIN CODES
1.31
BAY 3 of 5 (60%) · MAR 3 of 5 (60%)65.2%
Marseille scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 away · Bayer Leverkusen conceded under 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 50% · each game weighed by who it was against
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.12
BAY 5 of 5 (100%) · MAR 4 of 5 (80%)86.7%
Bayer Leverkusen: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Marseille: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.25
BAY 5 of 5 (100%) · MAR 3 of 5 (60%)80%
Bayer Leverkusen: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Marseille: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
2nd Half - Bayer Leverkusen Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.25
BAY 5 of 5 (100%) · MAR 3 of 5 (60%)76.7%
Bayer Leverkusen: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Marseille: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
CORNERS
Over 6.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BAY 5 of 5 (100%) · MAR 3 of 5 (60%)83.3%
Bayer Leverkusen's games: over 6.5 corners in 5 of 5 at home · Marseille's games: over 6.5 corners in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · each game weighed by who it was against
Left off the list: Bayer Leverkusen Win & Over 1.5 (the numbers (46%) and the records (50%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.9%
Bayer Leverkusen goals →
Marseille goals ↓
0-06%
1-010%
2-010%
3-06%
4-03%
5-01%
0-15%
1-111%
2-110%
3-16%
4-13%
5-11%
0-23%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.5%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.2%
0-40.3%
1-40.5%
2-40.5%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
BAYER LEVERKUSENDWWWWWWLWL2.20 PPG
MARSEILLELLLLWLWLWW1.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
BAYER LEVERKUSEN HOMExMARSEILLE AWAY
2.50SCORED A GAME1.701.50CONCEDED A GAME1.7040%CLEAN SHEETS20%0%FAILED TO SCORE67%7.90CORNERS A GAME4.501.90CARDS A GAME2.00
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.62POINTS A GAME1.67+0.25GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.78+5.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.21.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.48LEAGUE GAMES9
Bayer Leverkusen: the quality side - more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
81%
OKAY · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
50%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
76%
NO · 85/90
BAYER LEVERKUSEN OR DRAW
63%
NO · 80/85
MARSEILLE OR DRAW
38%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
BAYER LEVERKUSENxMARSEILLE
5GAMES52.00SCORED A GAME2.802.20CONCEDED A GAME1.404.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.2100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE60%5.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.610.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.0
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TEAM NEWS
BAYER LEVERKUSEN
Out: E. Ben Seghir (Muscle Injury), V. Boniface (Off the roster), M. Diaby (Hamstring Injury), G. Doue (Calf Injury), K. Eichhorn (Illness), C. Kofane (Muscle Injury)
MARSEILLE
Out: D. Cornelius (Hip Injury), Emerson (Knee Injury), D. Cornelius (Hip Injury), Emerson (Knee Injury)
TRENDS
Bayer Leverkusen have scored in 90% of their games.
Marseille have scored in 70% of their games.
Bayer Leverkusen kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Marseille kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards