INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - UEFA EUROPA LEAGUE

ALKALK

21:00Thu 5 Nov

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JUV

Alkmaar vs Juventus

CLASS A

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THE READ

Match details. UEFA Europa League, League Stage - 4. Kick-off is Thu 5 Nov, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at AFAS Stadion（Alkmaar）. The referee is Damian Sylwestrzak.

What's at stake. Alkmaar are 10th on 6 points after 3 games, 1 point behind Sunderland, level on points with Omonia Nicosia. A win would take them above Sunderland. Juventus are 7th on 7 points after 3 games, level on points with Union St. Gilloise, level on points with Beşiktaş. A win would take them above Union St. Gilloise.

Team news. Alkmaar are without J. Hornkamp (injury), S. Resink (knee injury), K. Smit (injury), H. Verhulst (off the roster), J. Zoet (inactive), J. Hornkamp (injury). Juventus are without Z. Celik (muscle injury), F. Conceicao (shoulder injury), N. Gonzalez (calf injury), K. Grabara (knee injury), M. Locatelli (knee injury), W. McKennie (groin injury).

Form. Alkmaar have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D W. Juventus have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D L.

The numbers. Alkmaar score 1.3 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Alkmaar average 12.8 shots (5.5 on target), 5.8 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 58% of the ball. Juventus score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Juventus average 13.8 shots (5.5 on target), 6.7 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.

The case against. Alkmaar's record still gives them 38% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.

The read. Juventus or the draw. An open game. Juventus are the stronger side on form and the table.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Juventus (Draw No Bet) (the signs point different ways); Juventus or draw and over 1.5 goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Alkmaar 1-2 Juventus (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Juventus or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ALK 5 of 5 (100%) · JUV 9 of 10 (90%)90.6%

Juventus: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · Alkmaar: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95%

Juventus win or both teams scoreIN CODES

1.18

ALK 4 of 5 (80%) · JUV 8 of 10 (80%)81.2%

Juventus: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Alkmaar: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%

2nd Half - Double Chance: Draw or JuventusPAGE ONLY

1.29

ALK 4 of 5 (80%) · JUV 6 of 10 (60%)70%

Juventus: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Alkmaar: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores

Juventus or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.36

ALK 3 of 5 (60%) · JUV 8 of 10 (80%)64.6%

Juventus: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · Alkmaar: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%

Juventus or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.21

ALK 3 of 5 (60%) · JUV 3 of 5 (60%)63.3%

Juventus scored first 1 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 3 of 5 away · Alkmaar trailed or failed to win in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues)

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.17

ALK 9 of 10 (90%) · JUV 4 of 5 (80%)90.6%

Alkmaar: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Juventus: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.25

ALK 7 of 10 (70%) · JUV 5 of 5 (100%)78.1%

Alkmaar: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Juventus: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%

ALKMAAR GOALS

Alkmaar Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.40

ALK 6 of 10 (60%) · JUV 4 of 5 (80%)54.2%

Alkmaar scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Juventus conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 60%

JUVENTUS GOALS

Juventus Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.19

ALK 4 of 5 (80%) · JUV 8 of 10 (80%)81.2%

Juventus scored in 4 of 5 away · Alkmaar conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.38

ALK 7 of 10 (70%) · JUV 4 of 5 (80%)75%

Alkmaar: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Juventus: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.23

ALK 8 of 10 (80%) · JUV 3 of 5 (60%)73.3%

Alkmaar: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Juventus: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Juventus (Draw No Bet) (the numbers (48%) and the records (56%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Juventus or draw and over 1.5 goals (the numbers (46%) and the records (52%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 8%

Alkmaar goals →

Juventus goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01.0%

5-00.3%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.8%

1-41%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

ALKMAARWDLWLWDWLL1.40 PPG

JUVENTUSLWWDWLDWLW1.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ALKMAAR HOMExJUVENTUS AWAY

1.30SCORED A GAME1.801.20CONCEDED A GAME1.2020%CLEAN SHEETS40%33%FAILED TO SCORE0%5.80CORNERS A GAME6.701.90CARDS A GAME1.20

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.56POINTS A GAME1.70+0.22GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.30+6.1SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+5.00.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.49LEAGUE GAMES10

Juventus: the quality side - a top-five league club v a smaller league.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

86%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

80%

VERY GOOD · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

82%

NO · 85/90

ALKMAAR OR DRAW

67%

NO · 80/85

JUVENTUS OR DRAW

55%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

ALKMAARxJUVENTUS

5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME1.001.40CONCEDED A GAME1.202.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.260%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%20%BOTH SCORE20%3.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES2.69.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES12.4

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TEAM NEWS

ALKMAAR

Out: J. Hornkamp (Injury), S. Resink (Knee Injury), K. Smit (Injury), H. Verhulst (Off the roster), J. Zoet (Inactive), J. Hornkamp (Injury)

JUVENTUS

Out: Z. Celik (Muscle Injury), F. Conceicao (Shoulder Injury), N. Gonzalez (Calf Injury), K. Grabara (Knee Injury), M. Locatelli (Knee Injury), W. McKennie (Groin Injury)

TRENDS

Alkmaar have scored in 60% of their games.

Juventus have scored in 80% of their games.

Alkmaar kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Juventus kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards