Mjallby AIF vs FK Borac Banja Luka
Match details. UEFA Conference League, League Stage - 3. Kick-off is Thu 5 Nov, 18:45 Lagos time. It is played at Strandvallen, Sölvesborg. The referee is G. Leibovitz.
What's at stake. Mjallby AIF are 12th on 4 points after 2 games, level on points with Universitatea Craiova, 1 point clear of Ajax. A win would take them above Universitatea Craiova. FK Borac Banja Luka are 14th on 3 points after 2 games, level on points with Ajax, level on points with Atalanta. A win would take them above Ajax.
Form. Mjallby AIF have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D L. In this competition Mjallby AIF have gone D W. FK Borac Banja Luka have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W.
The numbers. Mjallby AIF score 0.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Mjallby AIF average 13.6 shots (4.1 on target), 5.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. FK Borac Banja Luka score two and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. FK Borac Banja Luka average 12.6 shots (6.2 on target), 4.9 corners and 1.1 cards a game, with 40% of the ball.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their xG points to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.
The case against. FK Borac Banja Luka's record still gives them 53% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.
The read. Mjallby AIF or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Their goals for and against make FK Borac Banja Luka the likelier winners; FK Borac Banja Luka are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FK Borac Banja Luka. Their xG points to an open game.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Mjallby AIF 2-1 FK Borac Banja Luka (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).