INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUE

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18:45Thu 5 Nov

AJA

AJA

FC Midtjylland vs Ajax

CLASS A

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THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

TOTAL GOALS

Class A

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AJA

Over 1.5 Goals

FC Midtjylland v Ajax

International Clubs -… · 18:45

1.14odds

88%book

0edge

2/2angles

THE READ

Match details. UEFA Conference League, League Stage - 3. Kick-off is Thu 5 Nov, 18:45 Lagos time. It is played at MCH Arena, Herning. The referee is P. Raczkowski.

What's at stake. FC Midtjylland are 25th on 1 point after 2 games, level on points with FK Jablonec, level on points with Aarhus. A win would take them above FK Jablonec. Ajax are 13th on 3 points after 2 games, 1 point behind Mjallby AIF, level on points with Borac Banja Luka. A win would take them above Mjallby AIF.

Form. FC Midtjylland have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W. Ajax have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L.

The numbers. FC Midtjylland score 2.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. FC Midtjylland average 11.9 shots (4.9 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. Ajax score 2.5 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Ajax average 16.1 shots (6.9 on target), 6.0 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 64% of the ball.

Head to head. Ajax have won all of the last two meetings. Two of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 25 Nov 2020, it finished FC Midtjylland 1-3 Ajax: FC Midtjylland had 9 shots to 17, 41% of the ball, two yellow cards.

The case against. FC Midtjylland's record still gives them 48% to win.

The read. Ajax or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Their goals for and against make FC Midtjylland the likelier winners; FC Midtjylland are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Midtjylland. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 73%.

The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.14, 77% on the records (FC Midtjylland: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Ajax: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10). Full cover: Under 5.5 Goals at 1.13. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Ajax or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Ajax 1UP (the signs point different ways); Ajax win or both teams score (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: FC Midtjylland 1-2 Ajax (7% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Ajax or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCM 10 of 10 (100%) · AJA 5 of 5 (100%)91.7%

Ajax: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Midtjylland: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 100%

Ajax or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.30

FCM 4 of 5 (80%) · AJA 8 of 10 (80%)60%

Ajax scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Midtjylland trailed or failed to win in 1 of 5 at home

Ajax or draw and over 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.65

FCM 0 of 5 (0%) · AJA 7 of 10 (70%)52.5%

FC Midtjylland: the bet landed in 0 of 5 at home · Ajax: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 45%

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES

1.14

FCM 4 of 5 (80%) · AJA 9 of 10 (90%)88.5%

FC Midtjylland: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Ajax: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%

Under 5.5 GoalsFULL COVERIN CODES

1.13

FCM 5 of 5 (100%) · AJA 7 of 10 (70%)88.5%

FC Midtjylland: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Ajax: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.31

FCM 3 of 5 (60%) · AJA 7 of 10 (70%)71.7%

FC Midtjylland: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Ajax: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65%

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.51

FCM 4 of 5 (80%) · AJA 7 of 10 (70%)59.6%

FC Midtjylland: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Ajax: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%

FC MIDTJYLLAND GOALS

FC Midtjylland Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.20

FCM 4 of 5 (80%) · AJA 8 of 10 (80%)77.1%

FC Midtjylland scored in 4 of 5 at home · Ajax conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%

AJAX GOALS

Ajax Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.19

FCM 10 of 10 (100%) · AJA 5 of 5 (100%)76.7%

Ajax scored in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Midtjylland conceded in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 95%

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.28

FCM 5 of 5 (100%) · AJA 9 of 10 (90%)93.3%

FC Midtjylland: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Ajax: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.16

FCM 4 of 5 (80%) · AJA 7 of 10 (70%)75%

FC Midtjylland: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Ajax: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Ajax or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (64%) and the records (92%) are 28 points apart, and nothing settles it); Ajax 1UP (the numbers (47%) and the records (60%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Ajax win or both teams score (the numbers (70%) and the records (98%) are 28 points apart, and nothing settles it)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 7.1%

FC Midtjylland goals →

Ajax goals ↓

0-07%

1-09%

2-08%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-17%

1-112%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.6%

0-25%

1-27%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.9%

2-40.7%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

FC MIDTJYLLANDWWDWDWLWWW2.30 PPG

AJAXLWWDDLWWWW2.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FC MIDTJYLLAND HOMExAJAX AWAY

2.50SCORED A GAME2.501.10CONCEDED A GAME1.3010%CLEAN SHEETS20%17%FAILED TO SCORE0%4.80CORNERS A GAME6.001.50CARDS A GAME1.90

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

2.33POINTS A GAME2.18+0.92GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.55+1.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+5.92.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.212LEAGUE GAMES11

Ajax: the quality side - more shots than it allows.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

94%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

67%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

49%

NO · 85/90

FC MIDTJYLLAND OR DRAW

61%

NO · 80/85

AJAX OR DRAW

64%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

FC MIDTJYLLANDxAJAX

6GAMES52.33SCORED A GAME3.601.17CONCEDED A GAME0.803.5GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.483%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%83%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%83%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

FC MIDTJYLLAND 0 · 0%DRAW 0AJAX 2 · 100%

2020-11-03FC Midtjylland 1 – 2 Ajax

2020-11-25FC Midtjylland 1 – 3 Ajax

TRENDS

FC Midtjylland have scored in 90% of their games.

Ajax have scored in 100% of their games.

FC Midtjylland kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Ajax kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards