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Sparta Prague vs Bournemouth

CLASS A
THE BETBANKER · 2-ODDS · 3-ODDS · 5-ODDS…
95
TOTAL GOALS
Class A
Sparta Prague crestSPvBournemouth crestBOU
Over 1.5 Goals
Sparta Prague v Bournemouth
International Clubs -… · 18:45
1.17odds
85%book
+10edge
1/1angles
THE READ

Match details. UEFA Europa League, League Stage - 4. Kick-off is Thu 5 Nov, 18:45 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Letná, Prague. The referee is Erik Lambrechts.

What's at stake. Sparta Prague are 16th on 4 points after 3 games, level on points with Crystal Palace, level on points with Levski Sofia. A win would take them above Crystal Palace. Bournemouth are 4th on 9 points after 3 games, level on points with Bayer Leverkusen, level on points with Ferencvarosi TC. A win would take them above Bayer Leverkusen.

Team news. Sparta Prague are without M. Andersen (knee injury), A. Karabec (ankle injury), J. Mercado (calf injury), O. Penxa (knee injury), M. Rynes (ankle injury), A. Sevinsky (injury). J. Mercado is their top scorer. J. Mercado is their centre-back. Bournemouth are without M. Aarons (off the roster), J. Araujo (thigh injury), F. Forster (off the roster), D. Jebbison (off the roster), V. Milosavljevic (off the roster), J. Sanchez (off the roster).

Form. Sparta Prague have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L D. Bournemouth have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W.

The numbers. Sparta Prague score two and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Sparta Prague average 17.8 shots (6.7 on target), 7.9 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. Bournemouth score 2.1 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets. Bournemouth average 14.4 shots (5.9 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.7 cards a game, with 57% of the ball.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.

The case against. Sparta Prague's record still gives them 38% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.

The read. Bournemouth to win. An open game. Bournemouth are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Bournemouth. Their goals for and against point to an open game.

The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.17, 90% on the records (Sparta Prague: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Bournemouth: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10). Full cover: Under 5.5 Goals at 1.10. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: 1X2 - 2UP: Bournemouth (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Sparta Prague 1-2 Bournemouth (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Bournemouth or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SPA 9 of 10 (90%) · BOU 5 of 5 (100%)96%
Bournemouth: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sparta Prague: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · each game weighed by who it was against
Bournemouth win or both teams scoreIN CODES
1.10
SPA 9 of 10 (90%) · BOU 3 of 5 (60%)86.8%
Bournemouth: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sparta Prague: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70% · each game weighed by who it was against
Bournemouth or draw and over 1.5 goalsPAGE ONLY
1.36
SPA 2 of 5 (40%) · BOU 8 of 10 (80%)78.6%
Sparta Prague: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · Bournemouth: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 51% · each game weighed by who it was against
Bournemouth or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.20
SPA 9 of 10 (90%) · BOU 2 of 5 (40%)71%
Bournemouth: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sparta Prague: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70% · each game weighed by who it was against
Bournemouth or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.13
SPA 5 of 5 (100%) · BOU 8 of 10 (80%)69%
Bournemouth scored first 5 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sparta Prague trailed or failed to win in 2 of 5 at home · each game weighed by who it was against
Bournemouth 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
1.30
SPA 5 of 5 (100%) · BOU 8 of 10 (80%)67%
Bournemouth scored first 5 of last 5, led in 5 · led in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sparta Prague trailed in 1 of 5 at home · each game weighed by who it was against
Bournemouth to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.64
SPA 7 of 10 (70%) · BOU 1 of 5 (20%)60.4%
Bournemouth won 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sparta Prague lost 1 of 5 at home · both last 10: 46% · each game weighed by who it was against
Bournemouth Win & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
1.78
SPA 7 of 10 (70%) · BOU 1 of 5 (20%)59.6%
Bournemouth: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sparta Prague: the bet landed in 1 of 5 at home · both last 10: 41% · each game weighed by who it was against
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.17
SPA 5 of 5 (100%) · BOU 9 of 10 (90%)95.2%
Sparta Prague: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Bournemouth: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · each game weighed by who it was against
Under 5.5 GoalsFULL COVERIN CODES
1.10
SPA 4 of 5 (80%) · BOU 9 of 10 (90%)89.3%
Sparta Prague: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Bournemouth: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · each game weighed by who it was against
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.25
SPA 4 of 5 (80%) · BOU 9 of 10 (90%)76%
Sparta Prague: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Bournemouth: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · each game weighed by who it was against
SPARTA PRAGUE GOALS
Sparta Prague Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.36
SPA 2 of 5 (40%) · BOU 8 of 10 (80%)56.1%
Sparta Prague scored under 1.5 in 2 of 5 at home · Bournemouth conceded under 1.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 66% · each game weighed by who it was against
BOURNEMOUTH GOALS
Bournemouth Over 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.56
SPA 8 of 10 (80%) · BOU 1 of 5 (20%)62%
Bournemouth scored over 1.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sparta Prague conceded over 1.5 in 1 of 5 at home · both last 10: 46% · each game weighed by who it was against
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.18
SPA 5 of 5 (100%) · BOU 10 of 10 (100%)96.7%
Sparta Prague: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Bournemouth: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.30
SPA 4 of 5 (80%) · BOU 9 of 10 (90%)81.9%
Sparta Prague: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Bournemouth: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
CORNERS
Over 7.5 CornersIN CODES
1.27
SPA 3 of 5 (60%) · BOU 8 of 10 (80%)72.2%
Sparta Prague's games: over 7.5 corners in 3 of 5 at home · Bournemouth's games: over 7.5 corners in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · each game weighed by who it was against
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsIN CODES
1.31
SPA 4 of 5 (80%) · BOU 9 of 10 (90%)83.6%
Sparta Prague's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 5 at home · Bournemouth's games: over 3.5 cards in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · each game weighed by who it was against
Left off the list: 1X2 - 2UP: Bournemouth (the numbers (44%) and the records (64%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–2 9%
Sparta Prague goals →
Bournemouth goals ↓
0-07%
1-07%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.7%
5-00.2%
0-19%
1-113%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-27%
1-29%
2-26%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-34%
1-35%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.5%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.4%
1-50.5%
2-50.3%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
SPARTA PRAGUEWWWWDDLWLD1.80 PPG
BOURNEMOUTHDWLLWWWWWW2.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
SPARTA PRAGUE HOMExBOURNEMOUTH AWAY
1.70SCORED A GAME2.100.60CONCEDED A GAME0.9050%CLEAN SHEETS60%33%FAILED TO SCORE0%7.90CORNERS A GAME4.702.10CARDS A GAME2.70
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.67POINTS A GAME1.33+0.67GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.11+6.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.92.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.812LEAGUE GAMES9
Bournemouth: the quality side - a top-five league club v a smaller league.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
92%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
77%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
79%
NO · 85/90
SPARTA PRAGUE OR DRAW
80%
OKAY · 80/85
BOURNEMOUTH OR DRAW
30%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
SPARTA PRAGUExBOURNEMOUTH
5GAMES52.00SCORED A GAME1.600.20CONCEDED A GAME1.202.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.860%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%20%BOTH SCORE20%3.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.49.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES7.8
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TEAM NEWS

SPARTA PRAGUE

Out: M. Andersen (Knee Injury), A. Karabec (Ankle Injury), J. Mercado (Calf Injury), O. Penxa (Knee Injury), M. Rynes (Ankle Injury), A. Sevinsky (Injury)

BOURNEMOUTH

Out: M. Aarons (Off the roster), J. Araujo (Thigh Injury), F. Forster (Off the roster), D. Jebbison (Off the roster), V. Milosavljevic (Off the roster), J. Sanchez (Off the roster)
TRENDS
Sparta Prague have scored in 60% of their games.
Bournemouth have scored in 90% of their games.
Sparta Prague kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
Bournemouth kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
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