INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - UEFA EUROPA LEAGUE

RARSC

18:45Thu 5 Nov

SAL

SAL

RSC Anderlecht vs Salzburg

CLASS A

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THE BETSTRONG · NOT IN CODES

TOTAL GOALS

Class A

RAv

SAL

Over 1.5 Goals

RSC Anderlecht v Salzburg

International Clubs -… · 18:45

1.15odds

87%book

-2edge

2/2angles

THE READ

Match details. UEFA Europa League, League Stage - 4. Kick-off is Thu 5 Nov, 18:45 Lagos time. It is played at Lotto Park, Brussels. The referee is Elcin Masiyev.

What's at stake. RSC Anderlecht are 22nd on 3 points after 3 games, 1 point behind Red Bull Salzburg, level on points with 1899 Hoffenheim. A win would take them above Red Bull Salzburg. Salzburg are 21st on 4 points after 3 games, level on points with NEC Nijmegen, 1 point clear of Anderlecht. A win would take them above NEC Nijmegen.

Team news. RSC Anderlecht are without I. Camara (foot injury), L. Hey (broken leg), I. Koutsoupias (off the roster), K. Sardella (inactive), M. Winkler (inactive), I. Camara (foot injury). Salzburg are without E. Aguilar (muscle injury), A. Chase (off the roster), S. Kitano (ankle injury), F. Matijasevic (off the roster), J. Mellberg (muscle injury), J. Moser (off the roster). S. Kitano is their main creator. D. Schmid is their centre-back.

Form. RSC Anderlecht have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L L. Salzburg have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W.

The numbers. RSC Anderlecht score 1.5 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. RSC Anderlecht average 12.7 shots (5.9 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.7 cards a game, with 54% of the ball. Salzburg score 1.7 and concede one a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. Salzburg average 14.1 shots (5.6 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 58% of the ball.

The case against. Salzburg's record still gives them 47% to win.

The read. RSC Anderlecht or the draw. An open game. Salzburg are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Salzburg. Their xG points to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%.

The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.15, 70% on the records (RSC Anderlecht: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10; Salzburg: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 away). Full cover: Under 5.5 Goals at 1.13. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Predicted score: RSC Anderlecht 2-1 Salzburg (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

RSC Anderlecht or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

RSC 8 of 10 (80%) · SAL 4 of 6 (67%)87.4%

RSC Anderlecht: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Salzburg: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 79% · each game weighed by who it was against

RSC Anderlecht or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.25

RSC 8 of 10 (80%) · SAL 3 of 6 (50%)68.8%

RSC Anderlecht: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Salzburg: the bet landed in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 74% · each game weighed by who it was against

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsFULL COVERIN CODES

1.13

RSC 10 of 10 (100%) · SAL 6 of 6 (100%)99.2%

RSC Anderlecht: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Salzburg: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 95% · each game weighed by who it was against

Over 1.5 GoalsMAINPAGE ONLY

1.15

RSC 7 of 10 (70%) · SAL 4 of 6 (67%)85%

RSC Anderlecht: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Salzburg: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 74% · each game weighed by who it was against

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.31

RSC 9 of 10 (90%) · SAL 5 of 6 (83%)83.1%

RSC Anderlecht: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Salzburg: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 85% · each game weighed by who it was against

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.48

RSC 7 of 10 (70%) · SAL 3 of 6 (50%)66.3%

RSC Anderlecht: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Salzburg: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 69% · each game weighed by who it was against

RSC ANDERLECHT GOALS

RSC Anderlecht Over 0.5 goalsPAGE ONLY

1.15

RSC 7 of 10 (70%) · SAL 4 of 6 (67%)83.2%

RSC Anderlecht scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Salzburg conceded in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 64% · each game weighed by who it was against

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.16

RSC 8 of 10 (80%) · SAL 4 of 6 (67%)75.8%

RSC Anderlecht: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Salzburg: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsIN CODES

1.16

RSC 9 of 10 (90%) · SAL 6 of 6 (100%)93.4%

RSC Anderlecht's games: over 2.5 cards in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Salzburg's games: over 2.5 cards in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 90% · each game weighed by who it was against

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 7.8%

RSC Anderlecht goals →

Salzburg goals ↓

0-03%

1-04%

2-04%

3-02%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-15%

1-110%

2-18%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.7%

0-25%

1-28%

2-27%

3-24%

4-22%

5-20.6%

0-33%

1-35%

2-34%

3-33%

4-31%

5-30.4%

0-41%

1-42%

2-42%

3-41%

4-40.5%

5-40.2%

0-50.5%

1-50.8%

2-50.7%

3-50.4%

4-50.2%

5-50.1%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

RSC ANDERLECHTDWLWWLLWLW1.60 PPG

SALZBURGDWWDLWDWWW2.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

RSC ANDERLECHT HOMExSALZBURG AWAY

1.50SCORED A GAME2.101.10CONCEDED A GAME1.1040%CLEAN SHEETS40%11%FAILED TO SCORE14%4.60CORNERS A GAME5.002.70CARDS A GAME1.90

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

SALZBURG 0:3 HANDICAP

–

134 OF 142

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO

–

138 OF 151

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.78POINTS A GAME2.45+0.11GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+2.09+2.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.62.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.69LEAGUE GAMES11

Salzburg: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

72%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

77%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

87%

OKAY · 85/90

RSC ANDERLECHT OR DRAW

81%

OKAY · 80/85

SALZBURG OR DRAW

68%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

RSC ANDERLECHTxSALZBURG

5GAMES52.00SCORED A GAME2.801.20CONCEDED A GAME0.403.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%40%BOTH SCORE40%4.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES2.810.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.6

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TEAM NEWS

RSC ANDERLECHT

Out: I. Camara (Foot Injury), L. Hey (Broken Leg), I. Koutsoupias (Off the roster), K. Sardella (Inactive), M. Winkler (Inactive), I. Camara (Foot Injury)

SALZBURG

Out: E. Aguilar (Muscle Injury), A. Chase (Off the roster), S. Kitano (Ankle Injury), F. Matijasevic (Off the roster), J. Mellberg (Muscle Injury), J. Moser (Off the roster)

TRENDS

RSC Anderlecht have scored in 70% of their games.

Salzburg have scored in 80% of their games.

RSC Anderlecht kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Salzburg kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards