Match details. UEFA Europa League, League Stage - 4. Kick-off is Thu 5 Nov, 18:45 Lagos time. It is played at Anoeta Stadium, San Sebastian. The referee is Anastasios Papapetrou.
What's at stake. Real Sociedad are 14th on 4 points after 3 games, 2 points behind Lyon, level on points with Crystal Palace. A win would take them above Lyon. Lyon are 13th on 6 points after 3 games, level on points with Rennes, 2 points clear of Real Sociedad. A win would take them above Rennes.
Team news. Real Sociedad are without A. Odriozola (knee injury), L. Beitia (ankle injury), A. Zakharyan (ankle injury), A. Odriozola (knee injury), L. Beitia (ankle injury), A. Zakharyan (ankle injury). Lyon are without S. Kango (concussion), L. Openda (leg injury), M. Ouedraogo (knee injury), P. Sulc (knee injury), T. Morton (groin injury), S. Kango (concussion).
Form. Real Sociedad have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W D. Lyon have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W.
The numbers. Real Sociedad score 2.5 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Real Sociedad average 12.5 shots (5.0 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. Lyon score 0.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Lyon average 10.8 shots (4.9 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. Real Sociedad have won all of the last two meetings. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 28 Aug 2013, it finished Real Sociedad 2-0 Lyon.
The case against. Lyon's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. Real Sociedad to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Real Sociedad the likelier winners; Real Sociedad are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Real Sociedad. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 77%.
The bets. Best bet: Real Sociedad 1UP at 1.38, 70% on the records (Real Sociedad scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4; led in 7 of 10). Predicted score: Real Sociedad 2-1 Lyon (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).