INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - UEFA EUROPA LEAGUE

PLPFC

18:45Thu 5 Nov

JAG

PFC Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Bialystok

CLASS B

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. UEFA Europa League, League Stage - 4. Kick-off is Thu 5 Nov, 18:45 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Georgi Asparuhov, Sofia. The referee is Enea Jorgji.

What's at stake. PFC Levski Sofia are 17th on 4 points after 3 games, level on points with Sparta Praha, level on points with Dinamo Zagreb. A win would take them above Sparta Praha. Jagiellonia Bialystok are 27th on 3 points after 3 games, level on points with OFI, level on points with Torreense. A win would take them above OFI.

Team news. PFC Levski Sofia are without P. Hristov (off the roster), O. Kamdem (off the roster), R. Kirilov (knee injury), A. Mitkov (injury), M. Sangare (off the roster), P. Hristov (off the roster). Jagiellonia Bialystok are without D. Drachal (off the roster), C. Polak (off the roster), N. Wojtuszek (inactive), Z. Zalewski (off the roster), D. Drachal (off the roster), C. Polak (off the roster).

Form. PFC Levski Sofia have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W D. Jagiellonia Bialystok have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L L.

The numbers. PFC Levski Sofia score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. PFC Levski Sofia average 11.7 shots (4.2 on target), 5.2 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 44% of the ball. Jagiellonia Bialystok score two and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Jagiellonia Bialystok average 11.8 shots (4.6 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 42% of the ball.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their xG points to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.

The case against. Jagiellonia Bialystok's record still gives them 30% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.

The read. PFC Levski Sofia to win. An open game. PFC Levski Sofia are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour PFC Levski Sofia. Their xG points to an open game.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: PFC Levski Sofia or Draw & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); PFC Levski Sofia (Draw No Bet) (the signs point different ways); 1X2 - 2UP: PFC Levski Sofia (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: PFC Levski Sofia 2-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

PFC Levski Sofia or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PFC 8 of 10 (80%) · JAG 5 of 5 (100%)89.2%

PFC Levski Sofia: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Jagiellonia Bialystok: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%

PFC Levski Sofia or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES

1.25

PFC 8 of 10 (80%) · JAG 4 of 5 (80%)85%

PFC Levski Sofia: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Jagiellonia Bialystok: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80%

Double Chance: PFC Levski Sofia or DrawIN CODES

1.27

PFC 8 of 10 (80%) · JAG 3 of 5 (60%)85%

PFC Levski Sofia unbeaten in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Jagiellonia Bialystok failed to win 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 70%

PFC Levski Sofia or Draw (1UP)IN CODES

1.22

PFC 5 of 5 (100%) · JAG 9 of 10 (90%)83.3%

PFC Levski Sofia scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Jagiellonia Bialystok trailed or failed to win in 3 of 5 away

PFC Levski Sofia 1UPIN CODES

1.50

PFC 4 of 5 (80%) · JAG 7 of 10 (70%)70%

PFC Levski Sofia scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Jagiellonia Bialystok trailed in 3 of 5 away

PFC Levski Sofia to Win Either Half: YesPAGE ONLY

1.56

PFC 8 of 10 (80%) · JAG 3 of 5 (60%)70%

PFC Levski Sofia: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Jagiellonia Bialystok: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores

PFC Levski Sofia or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANIN CODES

1.36

PFC 6 of 10 (60%) · JAG 5 of 5 (100%)64.2%

PFC Levski Sofia: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Jagiellonia Bialystok: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 75%

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.09

PFC 9 of 10 (90%) · JAG 4 of 5 (80%)93.3%

PFC Levski Sofia: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Jagiellonia Bialystok: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90%

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.36

PFC 6 of 10 (60%) · JAG 4 of 5 (80%)82%

PFC Levski Sofia: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Jagiellonia Bialystok: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70%

PFC LEVSKI SOFIA GOALS

PFC Levski Sofia Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.27

PFC 8 of 10 (80%) · JAG 4 of 5 (80%)85%

PFC Levski Sofia scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Jagiellonia Bialystok conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80%

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.32

PFC 8 of 10 (80%) · JAG 5 of 5 (100%)90%

PFC Levski Sofia: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Jagiellonia Bialystok: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores

2nd Half - PFC Levski Sofia Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.73

PFC 7 of 10 (70%) · JAG 4 of 5 (80%)73.3%

PFC Levski Sofia: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Jagiellonia Bialystok: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores

Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.38

PFC 6 of 10 (60%) · JAG 4 of 5 (80%)68.3%

PFC Levski Sofia: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Jagiellonia Bialystok: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: PFC Levski Sofia or Draw & Over 1.5 (the numbers (51%) and the records (47%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); PFC Levski Sofia (Draw No Bet) (the numbers (49%) and the records (66%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); 1X2 - 2UP: PFC Levski Sofia (the numbers (40%) and the records (57%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 8.2%

PFC Levski Sofia goals →

Jagiellonia Bialystok goals ↓

0-04%

1-06%

2-05%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-16%

1-111%

2-18%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.6%

0-25%

1-28%

2-27%

3-24%

4-21%

5-20.5%

0-33%

1-35%

2-34%

3-32%

4-30.8%

5-30.3%

0-41%

1-42%

2-42%

3-40.8%

4-40.3%

5-40.1%

0-50.4%

1-50.6%

2-50.5%

3-50.3%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

PFC LEVSKI SOFIAWLDLWDWWDW1.80 PPG

JAGIELLONIA BIALYSTOKLLLLWLLWWW1.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

PFC LEVSKI SOFIA HOMExJAGIELLONIA BIALYSTOK AWAY

1.20SCORED A GAME1.600.80CONCEDED A GAME1.6050%CLEAN SHEETS20%33%FAILED TO SCORE14%5.20CORNERS A GAME4.201.20CARDS A GAME1.40

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

2.43POINTS A GAME1.36+1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.18+5.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.02.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.27LEAGUE GAMES11

PFC Levski Sofia: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

PFC LEVSKI SOFIA TO SCORE

–

61 OF 64

NO PRICE YET

PFC LEVSKI SOFIA 2:0 HANDICAP

–

61 OF 64

NO PRICE YET

DOUBLE CHANCE: PFC LEVSKI SOFIA OR DRAW

–

58 OF 64

NO PRICE YET

PFC LEVSKI SOFIA 1UP

–

49 OF 55

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

92%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

70%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

86%

OKAY · 85/90

PFC LEVSKI SOFIA OR DRAW

70%

NO · 80/85

JAGIELLONIA BIALYSTOK OR DRAW

38%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

PFC LEVSKI SOFIAxJAGIELLONIA BIALYSTOK

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.200.20CONCEDED A GAME1.601.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.840%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%0%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%20%BOTH SCORE60%3.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES2.29.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TEAM NEWS

PFC LEVSKI SOFIA

Out: P. Hristov (Off the roster), O. Kamdem (Off the roster), R. Kirilov (Knee Injury), A. Mitkov (Injury), M. Sangare (Off the roster), P. Hristov (Off the roster)

JAGIELLONIA BIALYSTOK

Out: D. Drachal (Off the roster), C. Polak (Off the roster), N. Wojtuszek (Inactive), Z. Zalewski (Off the roster), D. Drachal (Off the roster), C. Polak (Off the roster)

TRENDS

PFC Levski Sofia have scored in 80% of their games.

Jagiellonia Bialystok have scored in 70% of their games.

PFC Levski Sofia kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

Jagiellonia Bialystok kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards