Chonburi FC vs BG Pathum United
Match details. Thai League 1, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 13:00 Lagos time. It is played at OBD Stadium, Mueang Chon Buri.
What's at stake. Chonburi FC are 15th on 3 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Chiangrai United, 2 points clear of Rasi Salai United. A win would take them above Chiangrai United. BG Pathum United are 9th on 9 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Sisaket United, level on points with Sukhothai FC. A win would take them above Sisaket United.
Form. Chonburi FC have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L. BG Pathum United have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L D.
The numbers. Chonburi FC score one and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Chonburi FC average 11.7 shots (4.0 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.7 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. BG Pathum United score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. BG Pathum United average 10.4 shots (4.4 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 56% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Chonburi FC have won two, drawn two and lost five. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Chonburi FC won one, one was drawn and BG Pathum United won two. The last time they met, on 8 Mar 2026, it finished Chonburi FC 3-2 BG Pathum United.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%; five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%. Not everything agrees on goals: five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The read. BG Pathum United to win. A tight game. BG Pathum United are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour BG Pathum United; the meetings favour BG Pathum United. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.35, 72% on the records (Chonburi FC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; BG Pathum United: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 7). Backup: BG Pathum United or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.30. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Chonburi FC 0-1 BG Pathum United (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).