Yaracuyanos FC vs Aragua FC
Match details. Segunda Division, Quarter-finals. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 20:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Florentino Oropeza, San Felipe.
What's at stake. Yaracuyanos FC are 3rd on 55 points after 32 games, 1 point behind Fundación Lara Deportiva, 7 points clear of Urena SC. A win would take them above Fundación Lara Deportiva. Aragua FC are 2nd on 43 points after 26 games, 2 points behind Monagas II, 1 point clear of Petare FC. A win would take them above Monagas II. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Yaracuyanos FC have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition Yaracuyanos FC have gone W W W W W W. Aragua FC have won five, drawn four and lost none of their last nine, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W D. In this competition Aragua FC have gone W D W W D W.
The numbers. Yaracuyanos FC score 2.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Yaracuyanos FC average 5.1 corners and 2.8 cards a game. Aragua FC score 1.9 and concede one a game over their last nine, with three clean sheets. Aragua FC average 5.0 corners and 3.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Yaracuyanos FC have won four, drawn three and lost three. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Yaracuyanos FC won two, one was drawn and Aragua FC won one. The last time they met, on 9 Sep 2026, it finished Yaracuyanos FC 2-5 Aragua FC.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The case against. A knockout game (Quarter-finals) with penalties if level, and Yaracuyanos FC are not clearly stronger. Aragua FC's record still gives them 34% to win.
The read. Yaracuyanos FC or the draw. Their goals for and against make Yaracuyanos FC the likelier winners; Yaracuyanos FC are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Yaracuyanos FC.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Aragua FC or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Yaracuyanos FC); Aragua FC or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Yaracuyanos FC). Predicted score: Yaracuyanos FC 1-1 Aragua FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).