Match details. Cl3, Promotion Group - 10. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 20:00 Lagos time.
Form. Colchagua CD have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L L. CD Trasandino de Los Andes have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W D.
The numbers. Colchagua CD score 0.6 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and seven games without a goal. Colchagua CD average 8.0 shots (3.8 on target), 5.8 corners and 5.2 cards a game, with 57% of the ball. CD Trasandino de Los Andes score two and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. CD Trasandino de Los Andes average 9.0 shots (5.0 on target), 3.3 corners and 4.8 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
The case against. Colchagua CD's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. CD Trasandino de Los Andes to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CD Trasandino de Los Andes the likelier winners; CD Trasandino de Los Andes are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Trasandino de Los Andes. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Colchagua CD 0-1 CD Trasandino de Los Andes (11% chance).
The agreed story. CD Trasandino de Los Andes or the draw, a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).