ACAC

20:00Sun 1 Nov

AD Cariari Pococi vs AD Carmelita

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. Liga de Ascenso. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 20:00 Lagos time.

Form. AD Cariari Pococi have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L L. AD Carmelita have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W W.

The numbers. AD Cariari Pococi score 0.9 and concede one a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. AD Cariari Pococi average 5.7 corners and 2.2 cards a game. AD Carmelita score 1.6 and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. AD Carmelita average 5.1 corners and 2.3 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: AD Cariari Pococi 1-1 AD Carmelita (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

AC 10 of 10 (100%) · AC 9 of 10 (90%)95.3%

AD Cariari Pococi: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AD Carmelita: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · AD Cariari Pococi: only games against sides at AD Carmelita's level · AD Carmelita: only games against sides at AD Cariari Pococi's level

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.14

AC 10 of 10 (100%) · AC 9 of 10 (90%)88.1%

AD Cariari Pococi: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AD Carmelita: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · AD Cariari Pococi: only games against sides at AD Carmelita's level · AD Carmelita: only games against sides at AD Cariari Pococi's level

AD CARMELITA GOALS

AD Carmelita Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.30

AC 9 of 10 (90%) · AC 9 of 10 (90%)68.9%

AD Carmelita scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AD Cariari Pococi conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · AD Carmelita: only games against sides at AD Cariari Pococi's level · AD Cariari Pococi: only games against sides at AD Carmelita's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.3%

AD Cariari Pococi goals →

AD Carmelita goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.8%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

AD CARIARI POCOCIWLWLLDWLDD1.20 PPG

AD CARMELITALDLWWWDLLW1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AD CARIARI POCOCI HOMExAD CARMELITA AWAY

1.08SCORED A GAME1.621.00CONCEDED A GAME1.2360%BOTH SCORED50%10%CLEAN SHEETS40%5.67CORNERS A GAME5.092.17CARDS A GAME2.27

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

649 OF 684

NO PRICE YET

The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

75%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

41%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

94%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

AD CARIARI POCOCI OR DRAW

85%

OKAY · 80/85

AD CARMELITA OR DRAW

69%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TRENDS

AD Cariari Pococi have scored in 70% of their games.

AD Carmelita have scored in 90% of their games.

AD Cariari Pococi kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

AD Carmelita kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards