Paduano EC RJ vs FC Rio de Janeiro RJ
Match details. Carioca, Serie B2. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Paduano EC RJ have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L D. FC Rio de Janeiro RJ have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W W.
The numbers. Paduano EC RJ score 2.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Paduano EC RJ average 5.2 corners and 3.2 cards a game. FC Rio de Janeiro RJ score one and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. FC Rio de Janeiro RJ average 3.0 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 71% against the records' 50%.
The read. No firm call: Paduano EC RJ are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Paduano EC RJ the likelier winners; Paduano EC RJ are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Paduano EC RJ. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.21, 70% on the records (Paduano EC RJ: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; FC Rio de Janeiro RJ: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). The safer one: Paduano EC RJ or Draw at 1.10 (83%). Backup: Paduano EC RJ or Draw at 1.10. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Paduano EC RJ or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Paduano EC RJ 2-1 FC Rio de Janeiro RJ (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).