Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 18. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. CF La Solana have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L. CD Guadalajara B have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D L.
The numbers. CF La Solana score two and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. CF La Solana average 9.8 shots (2.8 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.7 cards a game. CD Guadalajara B score 0.8 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. CD Guadalajara B average 9.7 shots (4.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The case against. CD Guadalajara B's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. CF La Solana to win. Their goals for and against make CF La Solana the likelier winners; CF La Solana are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CF La Solana.
The bets. Best bet: CF La Solana or Draw at 1.23, 73% on the records (CF La Solana unbeaten in 3 of 5 at home; CD Guadalajara B failed to win 5 of 5 away). Predicted score: CF La Solana 2-0 CD Guadalajara B (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).