CD Acero vs Hercules CF B
Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 6. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 16:30 Lagos time.
Form. CD Acero have won two, drawn six and lost two of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D D D. Hercules CF B have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D W.
The numbers. CD Acero score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. CD Acero average 8.0 shots (3.0 on target), 3.2 corners and 4.7 cards a game. Hercules CF B score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Hercules CF B average 6.3 shots (2.8 on target), 3.0 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 33%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CD Acero 1-1 Hercules CF B (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).