Match details. Campeonato de Portugal. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. AD Machico have won six, drawn four and lost none of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D D. AD Camacha have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D W.
The numbers. AD Machico score 1.6 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. AD Machico average 12.0 shots (4.7 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.2 cards a game. AD Camacha score 2.4 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. AD Camacha average 9.9 shots (4.3 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
The case against. AD Camacha's record still gives them 31% to win.
The read. AD Machico to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make AD Machico the likelier winners; AD Machico are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.22, 74% on the records (AD Machico: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 9; AD Camacha: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8). Leave: AD Machico or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); AD Machico or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: AD Machico 1-0 AD Camacha (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
AD Machico or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADM 5 of 5 (100%) · ADC 9 of 9 (100%)83.3%
AD Machico scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AD Camacha trailed or failed to win in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AD Machico: only games against sides at AD Camacha's level · AD Camacha: only games against sides at AD Machico's level
AD Machico or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADM 7 of 9 (78%) · ADC 5 of 8 (62%)70.1%
AD Machico: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AD Camacha: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · AD Machico: only games against sides at AD Camacha's level · AD Camacha: only games against sides at AD Machico's level
AD Machico or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADM 9 of 9 (100%) · ADC 3 of 8 (38%)68.8%
AD Machico: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AD Camacha: the bet landed in 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · AD Machico: only games against sides at AD Camacha's level · AD Camacha: only games against sides at AD Machico's level
AD Machico 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADM 5 of 5 (100%) · ADC 7 of 9 (78%)67.6%
AD Machico scored first 4 of last 5, led in 5 · led in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AD Camacha trailed in 2 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AD Machico: only games against sides at AD Camacha's level · AD Camacha: only games against sides at AD Machico's level
AD Machico (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.44
ADM 6 of 6 (100%) · ADC 1 of 6 (17%)67%
AD Machico won 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · AD Camacha lost 1 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 58% · AD Machico: only games against sides at AD Camacha's level · AD Camacha: only games against sides at AD Machico's level · won 3, refunded 4, lost 3
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADM 9 of 9 (100%) · ADC 8 of 8 (100%)95.1%
AD Machico: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AD Camacha: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · AD Machico: only games against sides at AD Camacha's level · AD Camacha: only games against sides at AD Machico's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADM 9 of 9 (100%) · ADC 8 of 8 (100%)87.8%
AD Machico: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AD Camacha: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · AD Machico: only games against sides at AD Camacha's level · AD Camacha: only games against sides at AD Machico's level
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.23
ADM 8 of 9 (89%) · ADC 7 of 8 (88%)73.6%
AD Machico: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AD Camacha: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · AD Machico: only games against sides at AD Camacha's level · AD Camacha: only games against sides at AD Machico's level
AD MACHICO GOALS
AD Machico Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADM 7 of 9 (78%) · ADC 5 of 8 (62%)77.5%
AD Machico scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AD Camacha conceded in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · AD Machico: only games against sides at AD Camacha's level · AD Camacha: only games against sides at AD Machico's level
Left off the list: AD Machico or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); AD Machico or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–010.4%
AD Machico goals →
AD Camacha goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-08%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-23%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.7%
2-40.5%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
AD MACHICOWDWDWDDWWW2.20 PPG
AD CAMACHAWLDWDWDLWW1.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AD MACHICO HOMExAD CAMACHA AWAY
1.40SCORED A GAME1.700.40CONCEDED A GAME1.0070%CLEAN SHEETS30%4.70CORNERS A GAME4.702.20CARDS A GAME2.30
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
TRENDS
AD Machico have scored in 80% of their games.
AD Camacha have scored in 90% of their games.
AD Machico kept a clean sheet in 70% of their games.
AD Camacha kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards