Match details. FA Cup, Women. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. Huddersfield Town have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W W. Middlesbrough Lfc have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W L.
The numbers. Huddersfield Town score three and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Middlesbrough Lfc score 1.8 and concede two a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Huddersfield Town the likelier winners, but Middlesbrough Lfc are the stronger side on form and the table.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 86%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.16, rated 93% (Huddersfield Town: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Middlesbrough Lfc: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 away). Predicted score: Huddersfield Town 2-1 Middlesbrough Lfc (8% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Huddersfield Town the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).