LASK vs FK Austria Wien
Match details. Bundesliga, Women. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. LASK have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W D. FK Austria Wien have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W D.
The numbers. LASK score 0.6 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. LASK average 3.7 corners and 1.2 cards a game. FK Austria Wien score 2.5 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets. FK Austria Wien average 7.8 corners and 0.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 92% against the records' 60%.
The read. No firm call: FK Austria Wien are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make FK Austria Wien the likelier winners; FK Austria Wien are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FK Austria Wien. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: LASK 0-1 FK Austria Wien (13% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (FK Austria Wien the favourite), a tight game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. FK Austria Wien in their last cup games: drew 1-1 v TSV Hartberg, won 6-0 at FCM Traiskirchen (2 divisions below). Too few cup games to judge the side from.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).