CS Maritimo Madeira vs FC Porto
Match details. Campeonato Nacional, Women. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. CS Maritimo Madeira have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. FC Porto have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D D W.
The numbers. CS Maritimo Madeira score 0.4 and concede 2.8 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and seven games without a goal. CS Maritimo Madeira average 7.3 shots (2.7 on target), 2.6 corners and 1.5 cards a game. FC Porto score 1.7 and concede one a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Porto average 11.7 shots (4.3 on target), 4.9 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 90% against the records' 45%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.
The read. No firm call: FC Porto are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make FC Porto the likelier winners; FC Porto are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Porto.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: FC Porto Over 0.5 Goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: CS Maritimo Madeira 0-2 FC Porto (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).