Deportivo Alaves vs Real Sociedad San Sebastian
Match details. Primera Division Women. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. Deportivo Alaves have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L L. Real Sociedad San Sebastian have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W.
The numbers. Deportivo Alaves score one and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Deportivo Alaves average 10.9 shots (4.9 on target), 5.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Real Sociedad San Sebastian score 1.6 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. Real Sociedad San Sebastian average 13.1 shots (5.2 on target), 5.7 corners and 0.9 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 65% against the records' 35%.
The read. No firm call: Real Sociedad San Sebastian are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Real Sociedad San Sebastian the likelier winners; Real Sociedad San Sebastian are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 30%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.39, 77% on the records (Deportivo Alaves: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Real Sociedad San Sebastian: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10). Leave: Real Sociedad San Sebastian Over 0.5 Goals (Deportivo Alaves's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Deportivo Alaves 1-1 Real Sociedad San Sebastian (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).