SPAIN AMATEUR - TERCERA FEDERACION, GROUP 8

TCTUR

12:00Sun 1 Nov

CUL

Turegano CF vs Cultural Deportiva Leonesa B

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 8, Group 8 - 9. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 12:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Turegano CF are 13th on 7 points after 8 games, 3 points behind Almazán, level on points with Calasanz de Soria. A win would take them level on points with Almazán. Cultural Deportiva Leonesa B are 4th on 19 points after 8 games, 1 point behind UD Santa Marta, 3 points clear of La Virgen del Camino. A win would take them above UD Santa Marta.

Form. Turegano CF have won one, drawn four and lost three of their last eight, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D D D. In this competition Turegano CF have gone D W D D D L. Cultural Deportiva Leonesa B have won six, drawn one and lost one of their last eight, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L D. In this competition Cultural Deportiva Leonesa B have gone W W W L D W.

The numbers. Turegano CF score 1.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Cultural Deportiva Leonesa B score 1.6 and concede 0.6 a game over their last eight, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal.

The read. Cultural Deportiva Leonesa B to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Cultural Deportiva Leonesa B the likelier winners; Cultural Deportiva Leonesa B are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Cultural Deportiva Leonesa B. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Cultural Deportiva Leonesa B or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Cultural Deportiva Leonesa B or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Turegano CF 0-1 Cultural Deportiva Leonesa B (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Cultural Deportiva Leonesa B or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TUR 8 of 8 (100%) · CUL 4 of 5 (80%)89.2%

Cultural Deportiva Leonesa B: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Turegano CF: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 88% · Cultural Deportiva Leonesa B: only games against sides at Turegano CF's level · Turegano CF: only games against sides at Cultural Deportiva Leonesa B's level

Double Chance: Draw or Cultural Deportiva Leonesa BIN CODES

1.18

TUR 7 of 8 (88%) · CUL 4 of 5 (80%)85%

Cultural Deportiva Leonesa B unbeaten in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Turegano CF failed to win 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 88% · Cultural Deportiva Leonesa B: only games against sides at Turegano CF's level · Turegano CF: only games against sides at Cultural Deportiva Leonesa B's level

Cultural Deportiva Leonesa B to WinLEANPAGE ONLY

1.72

TUR 6 of 8 (75%) · CUL 3 of 5 (60%)63.8%

Cultural Deportiva Leonesa B won 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Turegano CF lost 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 56% · Cultural Deportiva Leonesa B: only games against sides at Turegano CF's level · Turegano CF: only games against sides at Cultural Deportiva Leonesa B's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TUR 5 of 5 (100%) · CUL 7 of 8 (88%)93.8%

Turegano CF: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Cultural Deportiva Leonesa B: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Turegano CF: only games against sides at Cultural Deportiva Leonesa B's level · Cultural Deportiva Leonesa B: only games against sides at Turegano CF's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TUR 4 of 5 (80%) · CUL 7 of 8 (88%)85%

Turegano CF: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Cultural Deportiva Leonesa B: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Turegano CF: only games against sides at Cultural Deportiva Leonesa B's level · Cultural Deportiva Leonesa B: only games against sides at Turegano CF's level

CULTURAL DEPORTIVA LEONESA B GOALS

Cultural Deportiva Leonesa B Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TUR 6 of 8 (75%) · CUL 5 of 5 (100%)85.4%

Cultural Deportiva Leonesa B scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Turegano CF conceded in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 81% · Cultural Deportiva Leonesa B: only games against sides at Turegano CF's level · Turegano CF: only games against sides at Cultural Deportiva Leonesa B's level

Left off the list: Cultural Deportiva Leonesa B or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Cultural Deportiva Leonesa B or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 11.5%

Turegano CF goals →

Cultural Deportiva… goals ↓

0-08%

1-06%

2-03%

3-01%

4-00.2%

5-00.0%

0-111%

1-112%

2-15%

3-12%

4-10.4%

5-10.1%

0-210%

1-210%

2-25%

3-21%

4-20.3%

5-20.1%

0-36%

1-35%

2-33%

3-30.8%

4-30.2%

5-30.0%

0-42%

1-42%

2-41%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.8%

1-50.8%

2-50.4%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 8

TUREGANO CFLLLDDDWD0.88 PPG

CULTURAL DEPORTIVA LEONESA BWWWDLWWW2.38 PPG

THE NUMBERS

TUREGANO CF HOMExCULTURAL DEPORTIVA LEONESA B AWAY

1.12SCORED A GAME1.621.50CONCEDED A GAME0.6212%CLEAN SHEETS62%25%FAILED TO SCORE25%

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

TRENDS

Turegano CF failed to score in 25% of their games.

Cultural Deportiva Leonesa B failed to score in 25% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstleague table