Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 7, Group 7 - 9. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 12:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Fernando Torres, Fuenlabrada.
What's at stake. CF Fuenlabrada are 11th on 10 points after 8 games, level on points with Torrejón, 2 points clear of RC Alcobendas. A win would take them above Torrejón. Las Rozas CF are 3rd on 17 points after 8 games, level on points with Colonia Moscardó, 1 point clear of Unión Adarve. A win would take them above Colonia Moscardó.
Form. CF Fuenlabrada have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W D. Las Rozas CF have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W L.
The numbers. CF Fuenlabrada score one and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. CF Fuenlabrada average 7.9 shots (3.4 on target), 5.1 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Las Rozas CF score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Las Rozas CF average 8.8 shots (4.3 on target), 4.9 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.
The read. A draw. Little separates them, and both sides draw often.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Las Rozas CF or Over 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Over 3.5 Cards (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: CF Fuenlabrada 1-1 Las Rozas CF (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).